Archive for the ‘Multipolar world’ Category
The New World Order is not turning out as planned. Instead of all power emanating from London and Washington, new power centres are emerging to the South and East: a new global equilibrium raises the possibility of a new post-imperial age of peace and equality between nations.
Posted by seumasach on November 21, 2016
So much for Oceania! The dominoes are falling in Asia, firstly, with the Philippines and several other countries moving into China’s orbit but now with Australia seemingly poised to exit the Anglosphere. This comes as a blow to the idea of an orderly retreat from empire. The facts on the ground point in a different direction. Hopefully the new US presidency will take an equally pragmatic approach and embrace the rising powers rather than continuing to go against the flow of history.
18th November, 2016
SYDNEY • For Australia, the election of President-elect Donald Trump has raised fears about the previously unthinkable: the fracturing of the more than 65-year-old alliance between Canberra and Washington.
Posted in Multipolar world, Oceania | Tagged: China-led globalization, Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on October 6, 2016
New Eastern Outlook
4th October, 2016
I recently returned from a fascinating two week speaking tour in China. The occasion was the international premier of my newest book, One Belt, One Road–China and the New Eurasian Century. In the course of my visit I was invited by China’s Northwest University in Xi’an to give a lecture and seminar on the present global political and economic situation in the context of China’s New Economic Silk Road as the One Belt, One Road project is often called. What I’ve seen in my many visits to China, and have studied about the entirety of this enormously impressive international infrastructure project convinces me that a Eurasian Century at this point is unstoppable.
Posted in Multipolar world | Tagged: Chinese soft power, End of empire, Mackinder, New Eurasian Century, One Belt One Road | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on September 26, 2016
25th September, 2016
Using measured but uncompromising language Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov reaffirmed to the UN General Assembly the main directions of Russia’s foreign policy: alliance with China, Eurasian integration, the defence of international law and opposition to regime change. Lavrov also set out Russian positions in respect of the crises in Syria and Ukraine.
Posted in Multipolar world | Tagged: Russian diplomacy | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on September 14, 2016
12th September, 2016
The Joint Sea-2016 started this Monday; that’s the fifth annual China-Russia naval drill, featuring stalwarts from both navies in action at the eastern waters of Zhanjiang, in Guangdong province, the HQ of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Navy Nanhai Fleet.
Posted in Multipolar world | Tagged: Chinese soft power, The Joint Sea-2016, Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on September 14, 2016
The G20 summit represents a turning point when China took the lead in a the globalisation and the English-speaking world suddenly discovered itself to be anti-globalisation.
11th September, 2016
Chinese President Xi Jinping offered to the world cooperation and collaboration on a path for common prosperity while Obama offered umbrella of missile defense protection and a path to death and destruction.
Posted in Multipolar world | Tagged: G20 Hangzhou | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on September 13, 2016
13th September, 2016
“I will be charting a [new] course [for the Philippines] on its own and will not be dependent on the United States,” declared Rodrigo Duterte, the Philippines’ firebrand president after winning a landslide victory earlier this year. Under the leadership of newly-minted president, the Philippines is rapidly transforming its foreign policy predisposition.
Posted in Multipolar world | Tagged: End of empire, post-American world, Rodrigo Duterte | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on September 12, 2016
What this reveals is that the new US doctrine of detente with Russia alongside containment of China is already dead in the water. The assumption behind this strategy would have been that Russia and China could be set at odds rather as they were by Kissinger in 1972. China’s deployment in Syria and Russia’s support for China over the South Seas have essentially laid to rest such delusions. As a result, I would predict that the Brexit project will be very short-lived, that Temer will be hoisted on his own petard of Facebook protest, that Macri will reverse his anti-China shift, that the oppositional movements Venezuela, South Africa and Zimbabwe will fail and that Australia will not end up preferring a security alliance with the USA to it’s vital economic interests in a trade deal with China. At the same time, all the logic of this situation points to a Trump victory in the US. There will be no comeback for the neo-con elements purged by Obama now gathering around Clinton. We are at a remarkable conjuncture with the moment of truth to come with the raising of interest rates in the US. Then we will know exactly the potential for East-West cooperation and a reset of the global financial system: whether what is to come will be merely painful or totally catastrophic.
11th September, 2016
The wrap on the long-awaited China-Russia naval exercise in the South China Sea has been lifted, finally. From what Beijing disclosed today regarding the eight-day exercise (codenamed Joint Sea-2016), beginning on September 12, it is anything but a routine exercise. Make no mistake, it marks a leap forward in Sino-Russian military ties and signals a significant show of strategic congruence.
Posted in Containing China, Multipolar world | Tagged: Russia China co-operation | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on September 7, 2016
6th September, 2016
The G20 in China was immensely impressive—in a way that very few in the West are able to understand. I’ve been living in Asia on and off for 22 years now—and other experienced, trusted Asia hands have had the same impression.
Posted in Multipolar world | Tagged: China's IMF role, China-led globalisation, SDRs | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on September 6, 2016
Who said good things wouldn’t come out of Brexit! The end of NATO is one of them. Without the UK European integration has received a shot in the arm and Europe begins to cast off US tutelage and emerge on the global stage as an independent force. As I have argued for some time this is a necessary step towards a multipolar world.
6th September, 2016
Europe is planning to forge ahead with plans for an EU Armythat some fear could eventually displace Nato, with senior officials in Brussels urging EU member states to capitalise on the “political space” left by Britain’s decision to vote to leave.
Posted in Disband NATO!, Multipolar world | Tagged: Britain into Europe-Europe out of NATO | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on August 27, 2016
The loss of the Turkey “vassal” secures the failure of the state Department’s Syria policy. At the same time, China has made a bold move in supporting Damascus militarily showing that they cannot be “contained” in the Asia-Pacific. The writing is on the wall for US hegemony as it has been for some time: the question really is can the USA abandon exceptionalism and enter into power sharing agreements with it’s rivals. Such leadership is badly needed but as the USA fragments into a chaos of interest groups, lobbies and identities where can it come from? Both Clinton’s neoconservative revival and Trump’s anti-China isolationism look like the pure fantasy of a nation unable to realistically assess it’s own status.
25th August, 2016
The main architect of Washington’s plan to rule the world has abandoned the scheme and called for the forging of ties with Russia and China. While Zbigniew Brzezinski’s article in The American Interest titled “Towards a Global Realignment” has largely been ignored by the media, it shows that powerful members of the policymaking establishment no longer believe that Washington will prevail in its quest to extent US hegemony across the Middle East and Asia. Brzezinski, who was the main proponent of this idea and who drew up the blueprint for imperial expansion in his 1997 book The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives, has done an about-face and called for a dramatic revising of the strategy. Here’s an excerpt from the article in the AI:
Posted in Global peace process, Multipolar world | Tagged: End of empire, retreat from empire | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on August 26, 2016
26th August, 2016
If US Vice President Joe Biden hoped for a trade-off with Turkish President Recep Erdogan – US assurances over Euphrates River ‘red line’ for Kurdish militia in lieu of Turkey’s acquiescence with Islamist preacher Fetullah Gulen remaining in Pennsylvania – that was not to be. ‘Euphrates Shield’ pre-empted Biden’s bidding. Erdogan thereby made Gulen’s extradition a ‘stand-alone’ issue. US’s Syria policies are in free fall and Turkey is increasingly eyeing Russia and Iran as its key interlocutors to resolve the Syrian problem.
Posted in Multipolar world, Syria | Tagged: Russian diplomacy, Turkey-Syria-Russia-Iran alliance | Leave a Comment »