In These New Times

A new paradigm for a post-imperial world

Archive for the ‘Multipolar world’ Category

The New World Order is not turning out as planned. Instead of all power emanating from London and Washington, new power centres are emerging to the South and East: a new global equilibrium raises the possibility of a new post-imperial age of peace and equality between nations.

Swamp fails to drain Trump

Posted by seumasach on March 1, 2021

Cailean Bochanan

1st March, 2021

Trump’s triumphant return at the CPAC can only accentuate the despair felt in Atlanticist circles, especially those emanating from London. After 4 years trying to tame the beast he is back and Biden’s election turns out to be a Pyrrhic victory. In fact, Trump looks in a stronger position than ever, continuing to highlight the blatant electoral fraud which denied him victory ( with three dissenters on the Supreme Court openly sympathetic), pushing for quicker reopening of schools (with falling “cases” due to a suspiciously timed intervention from the WHO curbing PCR testing excesses), a plank of Biden’s programme, lamenting Biden’s failure to withdraw the military from the Middle East and escoriating the treacherous republican leadership to the delight of the crowds, a Republican leadership which now has no choice but to endorse the man they queued up to stab on Capitol Hill. There is nothing here to suggest that the greatly feared Democratic Party dictatorship has become a realty. Trump has not been driven from political life, his supporters haven’t been hunted down, the far-left, rather than being empowered, are in despair at having been sold down the river so soon. The drive to open up the economy as the so-called covid epidemic tails off is becoming irresistible.


While Trump exudes strength, Biden exudes weakness. True, he has presided over a piece of gratuitous aggression, a missile attack on Syria, a traditional blooding of the new incumbent, but it’s questionable whether he was even informed, let alone consulted about it. His Vice-President Kamala Harris certainly wasn’t and complained vociferously. In office, but not in power. Extraordinarily, leading members of the Democratic Party want to take away Biden’s power to press the nuclear button. I would suggest that is symptomatic of a situation where power is escaping their hands. They want to control the president but someone else is already doing that. Quite explicitly, in fact. Shortly before Biden’s inauguration the Joints Chief’s of Staff made the unprecedented announcement that they would guarantee the Biden succession. So he owes his position to them in a sort of managed transition. Is this a soft military regime being signalled to us also through the occupation of Washington DC by the National Guard, at Trump’s command remember! General Michael Flynn spoke openly of a military intervention but not quite in this way. The fact that he is not facing treason charges, which undoubtedly would have been the first move of a Democratic single party dictatorship following on a coup by electoral fraud, confirms that the coup hasn’t happened. The appointment of his brother to head Asia Command confirms it doubly. It is as if MacBeth, after killing Duncan, continued to encounter his ghost in the corridors of the castle, failed to kill Banquo and the rest of the Duncan supporters, promoted some of them and even allowed them to continue to propagate conspiracy theories about Duncan’s death.

If we are in a period of military stewardship of the United States what would their goal be? To keep the states unified, in the first instance. They would seek to prevent the slide into civil war so confidently predicted in certain circles. Blocking normal politics would then be an essential step since normal politics is driven by irreconcilable extremes. Having a puppet Democratic president is then ideal to take the wind out of the sails of the loony left whose identity nonsense if incompatible in principle with any stable body politic. They do indeed seem to have gone quiet and the Trots are in despair, always a reliable marker. As WSWS puts it : “Biden and the Democratic Party leadership have strengthened Trump and his fellow Republican plotters.”


They would also have grasped by now that China has emerged victorious from Coronawars and that the USA better open up quickly before even more damage has been done to its standing in the world. They would also seek to salvage something of the middle class as some kind of stable base to the political system.


They would also seek to strengthen the military, of course, through the time honoured method of generating tension against imaginary enemies. At the same time the realists would be in charge as they have tended to be since the Iraq debacle and the overthrow of Rumsfeld, checking any temptation towards reckless conflict. This, of course, is contradictory but the trend towards non-engagement by US troops spread out around the world will likely continue. Any realist would also realise that US levels of defence spending are incompatible with diminished US economic power and the looming financial blowout. Perhaps, bringing the troops home and curbing the Military/Industrial Complex might be the twin planks of future Trump foreign policy. Meanwhile, London will continue its amateur propaganda campaign to bounce the USA into conflict with the evil Russians

The great losers in these developments are precisely these the warmongers and neo-imperialists in London. As I have argued within the anti-lockdown movement, the immediate goal of lockdown is not a NWO, as advocated by Klaus Schwab, already a figure of fun and general derision, but the NOW, the New Order of the West, a remilitarised, streamlined West under the leadership of a re-empowered NATO and Johnson’s D-10, a grandiose Freedom Alliance of the Western democracies with the Eastern democracies, Australia, Japan, South Korea, India underpinned by the strict denial of basic democratic rights under the pretext of an imaginary epidemic. Significantly, the ten leading countries in terms of covid “cases” are members of NATO. By Covid will they stand or fall. They will fall.

Trump has not drained the swamp but neither has the swamp drained Trump. The USA is in an unstable equilibrium that has to resolve itself either through its refoundation as a nation state or a disastrous, renewed bid for global hegemony.

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Why Russia is driving the West crazy

Posted by seumasach on February 14, 2021

Pepe Escobar

Zero Hedge( Article from Asia Times)

13th February

This is a great article by Escobar a man with long , hands-on expertise on Asian affairs. It is an antidote to all the piss-poor stuff we get from the Libertarians about “authoritarian” Russia. That word no more characterises Russia than “free” characterises Britain. In fact, a nation which bases its freedoms on Magna Carta, 1215, and the Bill of Rights, 1789, is not only not free, it’s a joke. To my way of thinking two great powers straddle the world, Russia the Eurasian pole and the USA, the Euramerican pole. Their convergence represents the great hope for global peace and prosperity. It has precedent in Lincoln’s Russian alliance and the Roosevelt-Stalin, anti-Churchill pact. Trump, and even Obama, attempted to move in this direction. Resistance to this. orchestrated from London, was feral. As Escobar shows, there are so many dimensions to Russia and even to the Soviet Union. Stalin now begins to look like an Asia despot, he was Asian, who tried to marginalise the communist party but failed. However, Russia has now succeeded completely in defining its place in the world, straddling Europe and Asia. Meanwhile, in the USA things remain obscure. Trump seems to have emerged stronger than ever after “losing” the election and being gifted an absurd attempt at impeachment which defies belief. The hawkish anti- Russia and China stuff doesn’t seem to be coming from Biden. Instead we have series of military leaders making hostile pronouncement on foreign policy: General Kenneth MacKenzie on Iran; Admiral Charles Richard making senile nuclear threats against Russia and China and our very own General Sir Nick Carter hyping cyberwars and an Asian NATO, no less. And, talking of NATO, we have , of course, the belligerent bureaucrat, the supreme warlord, the Shogun of the West, Jens Stoltenberg pontificating provocations such as getting Ukraine to join NATO( They are Nazis so I suppose that gives the proposal some rationale). All in all, certain elements in the West have never recovered form the failure of Barbarossa at the gates of Moscow in 1941. Stalin broke the hearts of Western imperialism and it has just been madness ever since. Can it end? Can a sane and rational leadership emerge in the West to finally put an end to three thousand years of war and inaugurate a new, peaceful epoch in the human story.

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What’s driving Australia’s China policy U-turn

Posted by seumasach on December 7, 2020

Johnson’s grandiose plans for a D-10 alliance against China are already running into trouble. Germany is not banning Huawei, Japan’s position is ambivalent and Australia seem hesitant to self-destruct for the dubious privilege of a war with their closest trading partner, China. What is more France is following it’s own interests in the Brexit negotiations rather than the EU or Atlanticist position. Multipolarity is showing itself as a reality as nations pursue strategic autonomy rather than imperial dictates

Ken Moak

7th December, 2020

Asia Times

Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison has toned down his tantrum over Chinese diplomat Zhao Lijian’s posting of a piece of art depicting soldiers about to slit an Afghan child’s throat. China not only refused to delete the picture, it demanded that Australia investigate and apologize for its soldiers’ alleged atrocities in Afghanistan. But unexpectedly, Morrison was reported by the South China Morning Post on December 3 as saying he wanted a “happy co-existence” with China.

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Gridlock – Biden may or may not win, but Trump remains ‘President’ of Red America

Posted by seumasach on November 8, 2020

Alistair Crooke

Strategic Culture

7th November, 2020

“The fracturing of the ‘One Normal’, by contrast, provides some kind of respite to much of the globe.”

A crucial element of the reset, rarely mentioned, is the formation of a global alliance against Russia and China. In the absence of a clear cut Democratic victory that has suddenly become a lot less doable. In particular, reducing Europe to a NATO outpost against Russia is inconceivable;e with America wobbling at the helm.

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Covid, fascism and the road to war

Posted by seumasach on October 2, 2020

Cailean Bochanan

2nd October, 2020

General Sir Nicholas Carter has warned that Russia and China, authoritarian regimes as he has it, are using the covid crisis to undermine Western societies. He even accuses them of seeking to win without fighting. That is probably true in accordance of the dictum of Sun Tzu. In fact, they may already have won. But not in the eyes of out gallant general. This is a man who called for the army to be deployed against coronavrus back in March. He is the symbol and the rallying point of all those who refuse to recognise that the empire is over. In this speech he was introduced in this web conference by David Petreaus, a seasoned neocon. The neocons, the infection which won’t go away, are indeed back. Some of them are featured in the Transition Integrity Project, a more or less brazen attempt to overthrow the president of the USA in the, highly likely, event that he wins the coming election. Where this leads the USA is anyone’s guess but the great hope of the neocons, judging by past form , is that America will once again lead the world to a New World Order by defeating the Russia/China alliance. That certainly seems to be a long shot, but politics as the art of the impossible is exactly attuned to dying empires. 

What concretely, does Carter propose. He has realized that modern warfare is about modern technology, specifically 5G, AI, robotisation and cybernetics. Isn’t it a bit late in the day to realise this? Well, the West thought they could win through their Jihadi irregulars destabilising the Middle East and thence both Russia and China. Empire on the cheap, if you like, actual investment, long term investment, in new technology being beyond the scope of America’s corporate welfare system. So, that all has to change- there has to be a reset. The pretext for the reset is the lockdown, a proposal first mooted by the Chinese and their friends in the WHO. Perhaps the Chinese hoped to out the war party once and for all and Carter and Petreaus have duly obliged. Their language may be newspeak but their intentions are transparent. The US/UK and their self-declared allies have decided to reassert their birthright, their ‘ownership” of the “international community”.

Covid, of course, is about politics rather than public health. In the first instance, it is essential in order to set the US election within the framework of the “new normal”. This enables the subversion of the electoral process as never before. In particular, it allows the postal voting which , as Trump correctly points out, is a guaranteed means of electoral fraud. All that matters if that the outcome, presumably a victory by Donald Trump, can be contested. Why the removal of Trump is such an imperative I can’t say. That it is an imperative is beyond question. If the neocons are in the mix , as they appear to be, then it can only be a question of war or peace. I would then surmise that Trump, despite all appearances, intends to seek an American diplomacy which permits a detente with Russia/China wheres his adversaries seek a New World Order built on the ashes of Russia and China. Trump’s policy then would be a realistic pursuit of US national interests as opposed to the entrenched fanaticism of fantasists.

It is significant that Trump has consistently sought to downplay the coronavirus crisis in contrast to most of the media, the democrats in general and the neocons in particular. Not only is coronavirus a cover for electoral fraud, it is instrumental in furthering the aims of the war party. The USA has to “reset”, restructure in the interests of war. This would entail economies of scale, the monopolisation of the economy, the rapid running down of social programmes, the destruction of independent wealth, the middle class and the scaling down of the population. If fascism is defined as the orientation of an entire society to war then this is fascism- fascism with a transhuman face: the human values of yesteryear and their advocates reduced to naught. We can already get more than a glimpse of this in the lockdown, already a dystopia which leaves 1984 or Brave New World looking not so bad after all. Is this then between an Orwellian vision and a Huxley vision. I believe not. We are firmly placed in Oceania and Orwell’s world of rivalries between power blocks. The Western elites have retreated from globalisation which is now being led by China. They make seek to retool for global war, a ‘challenge” too far I would say, regress into a fourth world misery, or finally embrace the new multipolar reality where no one is top dog, not even China, and the world finds a new equilibrium.

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Europe has been preparing a global gold standard since the 1970s

Posted by seumasach on July 20, 2020

This article is a revelation to me: I have been looking t this issue for some time but have been unaware of the EU’s preparatory moves towards a gold-backed international financial system. Despite the endless stream of ridicule directed against the EU leadership it would appear that something of real value has been accomplished. This all makes sense when we recall Giscard d’Estaing’s reference to America’s “exorbitant privilege” of being able to issue fiat to cover a permanent trade and capital deficit. Perhaps to complete the picture we only need to suppose a vast underestimate of China’s gold holdings.

 

Jan Nieuwenhuijs

Voima

15th July, 2020

Research reveals that European central banks have prepared a new international gold standard. Since the 1970s, policies that paved the way for an equitable and durable monetary system have gradually been implemented.

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Vector of the European political agenda is changing: Russia is becoming a necessary partner

Posted by seumasach on February 20, 2020

As the conference proceeded, negotiations between the German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas and the Head of the Russian Foreign Ministry were held. They paid special attention to “practical issues of developing a dialogue between the EU and the EAEU with the prospect of creating conditions for the formation of a common economic and humanitarian space from Lisbon to Vladivostok”

Anastasia Frank

The Duran

19th February, 2020

One of the main political events of the past week was the Munich Security Conference, which brought together more than 150 heads of state, senior diplomats and prime ministers in the Bavarian capital for an open discussion of burning issues of the current political agenda.

A topic important for discussion was the vector of further interaction between Russia and the countries of Europe. French President Emmanuel Macron, whose current aspirations were assessed by Sergei Lavrov, who was in charge of the Russian delegation, as “pragmatic” and “politically discerning”, has repeatedly called for the need to resume a sustained dialogue with Moscow, noting the fact that it was extremely difficult to predict economic benefits from sanctions in Russia and the retaliatory measures in the foreseeable future.

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The road toward Greater Eurasia

Posted by seumasach on November 27, 2019

Pepe Escobar

The Saker

26th November, 2019

Kazakhstan’s first president has road map for 21st century: global alliance of leaders for nuclear-free world

The Astana Club is one of the most crucial annual meetings in Eurasia, alongside the Boao forum in China and the Valdai discussions in Russia. China, Russia and Kazakhstan are all at the forefront of Eurasia integration. No wonder, then, that the 5th meeting of the Astana Club had to focus on Greater Eurasia – synonymous, it may be hoped, with a “new architecture of global cooperation.”

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Is China’s Embrace Of Blockchain A Warning Shot To The West?

Posted by seumasach on November 10, 2019

Epoch Times

3rd November, 2019

China has high ambitions for its state-controlled digital currency.

I wrote two months ago that its central bank digital currency could be imminent. And since foreign adoption of the yuan has been tepid so far, the technology also represents a massive bid to accelerate the internationalization of yuan.

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De-dollarizing the American financial empire

Posted by seumasach on July 15, 2019

Interview with Michael Hudson

Guns and Butter

7th July, 2019

Economist Michael Hudson continues his discussion of Super Imperialism: The Economic Strategy of American Empire with a focus on US monetary imperialism; President Trump’s demand for lower interest rates undercuts America’s requirement for foreign investment to fund its domestic and balance of payments deficit, increases the carry trade and turns IMF and World Bank policies on the US; analysis of US economic domination of the world from its position as the world’s largest creditor post-WWI; analysis of US economic domination of the world from its position as the world’s largest debtor after the 1971 close of America’s gold window; emergence of the dollar-debt standard; how war has bankrupted the US; the difference between imperialism and super imperialism; US bribes foreign governments; China’s banking system; China and Russia stockpile gold as the world breaks out of dollar domination.

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Modi wades into eurasianism

Posted by seumasach on June 17, 2019

M.K.Bhadrakumar

Indian Punchline

17th June, 2019

“If international diplomacy indulges in symbolism, this must be one of the most poignant ones in world politics in the recent times. The RIC has always been a red rag for the US — ever since the great Soviet strategic thinker and Kremlin statesman Yevgeny Maksimovich Primakov first proposed the tantalising idea in 1999. The profound symbolism cannot be lost on Trump that India is consorting with the two “revisionist powers” on the planet (Russia and China) which, according to the US, are each working its way toward making a power grab on the world stage.”

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