Archive for the ‘Multipolar world’ Category
The New World Order is not turning out as planned. Instead of all power emanating from London and Washington, new power centres are emerging to the South and East: a new global equilibrium raises the possibility of a new post-imperial age of peace and equality between nations.
Posted by seumasach on August 27, 2016
The loss of the Turkey “vassal” secures the failure of the state Department’s Syria policy. At the same time, China has made a bold move in supporting Damascus militarily showing that they cannot be “contained” in the Asia-Pacific. The writing is on the wall for US hegemony as it has been for some time: the question really is can the USA abandon exceptionalism and enter into power sharing agreements with it’s rivals. Such leadership is badly needed but as the USA fragments into a chaos of interest groups, lobbies and identities where can it come from? Both Clinton’s neoconservative revival and Trump’s anti-China isolationism look like the pure fantasy of a nation unable to realistically assess it’s own status.
25th August, 2016
The main architect of Washington’s plan to rule the world has abandoned the scheme and called for the forging of ties with Russia and China. While Zbigniew Brzezinski’s article in The American Interest titled “Towards a Global Realignment” has largely been ignored by the media, it shows that powerful members of the policymaking establishment no longer believe that Washington will prevail in its quest to extent US hegemony across the Middle East and Asia. Brzezinski, who was the main proponent of this idea and who drew up the blueprint for imperial expansion in his 1997 book The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives, has done an about-face and called for a dramatic revising of the strategy. Here’s an excerpt from the article in the AI:
Posted in Global peace process, Multipolar world | Tagged: End of empire, retreat from empire | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on August 26, 2016
26th August, 2016
If US Vice President Joe Biden hoped for a trade-off with Turkish President Recep Erdogan – US assurances over Euphrates River ‘red line’ for Kurdish militia in lieu of Turkey’s acquiescence with Islamist preacher Fetullah Gulen remaining in Pennsylvania – that was not to be. ‘Euphrates Shield’ pre-empted Biden’s bidding. Erdogan thereby made Gulen’s extradition a ‘stand-alone’ issue. US’s Syria policies are in free fall and Turkey is increasingly eyeing Russia and Iran as its key interlocutors to resolve the Syrian problem.
Posted in Multipolar world, Syria | Tagged: Russian diplomacy, Turkey-Syria-Russia-Iran alliance | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on August 19, 2016
New Eastern Outlook
2nd August, 2016
After more than two years of worsening economic growth and an economy struggling with 10.5% central bank interest rates that make new credit to spur growth virtually impossible, Russian President Vladimir Putin has finally broken an internal factional standoff. On July 25 he mandated that an economic group called the Stolypin Club prepare their proposals to spur growth revival to be presented to the government by the Fourth Quarter of this year. In doing so, Putin has rejected two influential liberal or neo-liberal economic factions that had brought Russia into a politically and economically dangerous recession with their liberal Western free market ideology. This is a major development, one I had been expecting since I had the possibility to exchange views this June in St. Petersburg at the annual St. Petersburg International Economic Forum.
Posted in Multipolar world | Tagged: Friederich List, Putin agenda, Russian development model, Russian renaissance, Stolypin Club | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on August 17, 2016
15th August, 2016
The reported remarks Monday by Turkish Prime Minister Binaldi Yildirim regarding a 3-step road map for ending the Syrian conflict would be the latest indication that Ankara is tiptoeing toward restoring Turkish-Syrian relations at the diplomatic and political level.
Posted in Multipolar world, Syria | Tagged: russia -Turkey strategic alliance, Turkey-Syria-Iran alliance, Turkey-Syria-Russia-Iran alliance | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on August 13, 2016
Russia enters into a military alliance with a NATO member: a historic shift of immense proportions. The ball is in the court of the EU/USA now: to accept a new reality or to continue in the futility of new cold war, anti-Russian hysteria. Turkey, as many predicted has emerged as a pivotal power in the 21st century. Like Russia it looks both East and West and towards the unification of the “world island” as Mackinder termed it: a free trade area from Lisbon to Vladivostok no longer looks so far away. All this as Washington shifts towards Oceanic retrenchment and the vagaries of “containment” of China. We are not moving forward in a straight line but we are moving forward.
13th August, 2016
After Turkish President Recep Erdogan’s meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in St Petersburg, Ankara says the next administration in Syria should be inclusive and secular so that everyone can live with their beliefs. This is as close as Turkey has ever come to accept that Assad has a legitimate role to play.
Posted in Global peace process, Multipolar world, Syria | Tagged: Eurasian free trade area, New Eurasian Century | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on August 6, 2016
6th August, 2016
Despite the recent US charm offensive against India, New Delhi has resisted the temptation, remaining committed to the BRICS ideal of multi-polarity. India maintains mutually beneficial relations with China, regardless of “brief bumps” in the relationship, geostrategic analyst Matthew Maavak told Sputnik.
Posted in Containing China, Multipolar world | Tagged: China-India relations | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on August 4, 2016
3rd August, 2016
A new framework of regional cooperation will be taking shape in India’s neighbourhood when the leaders of Russia, Azerbaijan and Iran meet in Baku for a summit meeting on August 8. The Kremlin readout acknowledges this and says the three leaders will discuss “current issues on the international and regional political agenda and prospects for establishing practical cooperation, particularly in energy and transport”. (Kremlin website)
Posted in Multipolar world | Tagged: Russia-Iran relations, Russian, Russian diplomacy | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on July 29, 2016
19th July, 2016
Like the British Empire before it, the banking/military/industrial juggernaut that is the US Hegemon is slowly sinking beneath the waves despite its frantic efforts to stay afloat. The attempted coup in Turkey this last week is just the latest fiasco for the hegemon. But before we do any finger pointing at the US, a little history will help with our understanding of what is at stake. Context is everything.
Posted in Multipolar world | Tagged: russia -Turkey strategic alliance, Turkish coup, Turkish diplomacy | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on July 27, 2016
27th July, 2016
The developments in Turkey are taking a dramatic turn. All Indications are that the Turkish government is in possession of definite information that the attempted military coup was orchestrated by the United States. (Anadolu)
Posted in Multipolar world | Tagged: russia -Turkey strategic alliance, Turkey Coup | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on July 26, 2016
Whilst it is clear that Putin seeks, above all, a Moscow-Washington partnership, it is not clear that this is incompatible with an equally strong partnership with China. Indeed, such a partnership would be the basis of Eurasian integration. Still, one would expect Washington try to drive a wedge between Russia and China. A Trump presidency would likely engage more closely with Moscow, perhaps finally bringing to an the Cold War. Hence, his seeming indifference to NATO. But he would at rhetorically challenge China even as the Chinese buy up broad swathes of the US economy. This triangular, US-Russia-China interplay may throw some light on the mystery of Brexit: the one clear consequence of Brexit, apart from destroying the British economy and the power of the City of London, seems to be a realignment of UK foreign policy with that of Washington after tensions had arisen over British membership of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and the lately departed George Osborne’s wooing of China as well as the accompanying Russophobia.
25th July, 2016
The scathing attack on Russian foreign policies in the Global Times newspaper on Sunday has no precedents. It goes way beyond the occasional sparring in a spirit of ‘glasnost’. Indeed, China-Russia Comprehensive Strategic Partnership of Coordination (as it is officially described) is not at all like what it appears. (Read my article in Asia Times Russia-China entente – Lofty rhetoric, shifty discourse.)
Posted in Multipolar world | Tagged: US-Russia-China triangle | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on July 19, 2016
18th July, 2016
Russian President Vladimir Putin did on Sunday what no major western leader from the NATO member countries cared to do when he telephoned his Turkish counterpart Recep Erdogan to convey his sympathy, goodwill and best wishes for the latter’s success in restoring constitutional order and stability as soon as possible after the attempted coup Friday night. (Kremlin website)
Posted in Multipolar world | Tagged: Turkish coup | Leave a Comment »