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Archive for the ‘brexit crisis’ Category

Statement by Michel Barnier

Posted by seumasach on September 23, 2017

“With regard to Ireland, the United Kingdom is the co-guarantor of the Good Friday Agreement. Today’s speech does not clarify how the UK intends to honour its special responsibility for the consequences of its withdrawal for Ireland. Our objective is to preserve the Good Friday Agreement in all its dimensions, as well as the integrity of the Single Market and the Customs Union.”

This is just the most difficult of the three very thorny issues which have to be dealt with when negotiations re-open on Monday. Barnier presents them in a clear and rational manner which is more than can be said for the British media. Given the state of “opinion” in the UK May’s task, for she has now abrogated all powers to herself to conduct these negotiations, seems impossible.

European Commission

22nd September, 2017

In her speech in Florence, Prime Minister Theresa May has expressed a constructive spirit which is also the spirit of the European Union during this unique negotiation.

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Brexit department chief to join PM’s team

Posted by seumasach on September 23, 2017

In the next round of talks next week, he will sit alongside Davis, who will continue to be the “principal negotiator” for the U.K. However, the government official was at pains to stress that the prime minister, not Davis, remained the “chief negotiator.”

As the Murdoch press’s long touted bet that the Euro and the EU will collapse looks to be a losing one, it is Brexit itself which is imploding. This quiet move essentially neuters the Department for Exiting the EU and puts May in charge. We now await the blowback from the eurosceptics but Jonson may have served as a conductor leading their lightning to earth in a favorite trick of the British ruling class. Farage is right to smell a rat after hearing May’s Florence speech but, then again, he has to ask himself what happened to his promise on the morning of the Brexit vote to “bring down this failed project and lead us to a Europe of sovereign nations”. The speech itself moves the government towards Labour’s ambiguous position whose  merit is to put off the catastrophe that is Brexit until all but the diehards have agreed to forget it. Meanwhile May is left with the impossible task of negotiating a Brexit which she no longer wants and the main reason for going to Florence was to appeal to EU negotiators for understanding of her predicament.

Real Info News

18th September, 2017

Britain’s top Brexit negotiator, Oliver Robbins, left his job in the Department for Exiting the European Union to work directly for Theresa May in Downing Street.

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Brexit: Japanese companies set to leave London

Posted by seumasach on September 16, 2017

As I have argued from the start Brexit simply meant throwing away our geo-political Trump card, namely. the UK as a hub for foreign investment seeking access to the EU single market. Such deals as Osborne’s with China would thus have facilitated the UK’s transition from an economy based on imperial privilege and parasitic finance to that of a nation state amongst others in new multipolar, post-US/UK hegemony world order. As it is we have embarked on a terrifying journey into the abyss of global irrelevance.

Deutsche Welle

16th September, 2017

 

Japan’s largest car-maker and a major finance firm have announced that they are reconsidering their operations in Britain after the UK completes its divorce from the European Union, a serious setback to the British government’s efforts to convince companies here that it will be business as usual after Brexit.

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May’s post-Brexit trade policy unravels in Japan

Posted by seumasach on September 2, 2017

Politics

31st August, 2017

One of the core Brexit arguments was that outside of the EU we could negotiate our own trade deals. We wouldn’t have to sit with 27 other nations anymore, trying to construct a uniform trade policy between such disparate economies. We wouldn’t have to be hobbled by the political need to protect things like oranges, which we don’t care about, and could focus on things like financial services, which we do. Britain would be unleashed, a roaming imperial tiger on the global stage.

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Ireland to SNUB Brexit Britain and get energy direct from FRANCE

Posted by seumasach on August 11, 2017

Express

27th July, 2017

IRELAND is threatening to snub Brexit Britain as the country’s leaders turn to the European Union to help bolster its supply of gas and electricity.

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Brexit: a neoconservative coup

Posted by seumasach on August 4, 2017

I’ve decided to repost my initial response to the Brexit vote. I feel a bit like the German professor who was asked whether he had ever been wrong.” Once, just once,” he replied: “I thought I was wrong but I was right.” This appeared to be wrong since the neo-con agenda was disrupted by Trump’s election victory. The ascendency of Congress and the passage of the anti-Russian sanctions with only five congressmen voting against effectively reverses this. We now see how Brexit ties in with the US establishment’s plans to destabilize the EU as a prelude to doing the same to Russia and China. It’s all as clear as day!

Cailean Bochanan

26th June, 2016

Now that we have voted for Brexit we will not know what exactly the program of the Remain camp was.

However, the program of the Brexit leadership was blurted out by an emotional Nigel Farrage in the early hours of Friday morning:

“For the whole of Europe.  I hope this victory brings down this failed project and leads us to a Europe of sovereign nations, trading together, being friends together, co-operating together.  And let’s get rid of the flag, the [EU] anthem, Brussels and all that has gone wrong.”

It may come as a surprise to little englander Brexit voters that they weren’t voting to leave Europe but to destroy it. It wasn’t a vote against globalisation but for Anglo-American globalisation. Neo-conservatism, the infection that just won’t go away, is back in the form of a new unelected junta about to take control of Britain. It’s chief ideologue is Michael Gove of the neocon Henry Jackson society. According to Gove:

“For Europe, Britain voting to leave will be the beginning of something potentially even more exciting — the democratic liberation of a whole continent”

So we are to leave Europe in order, subsequently, to meddle in it.

This is Gove’s permanent revolution agenda to borrow a term from one of the neocons great inspirational figures, Leon Trotsky.

In my last article on the EU question I noted that that Cameron had failed to negotiate the opt-outs that City of London interests would require whilst at the same time Brexit would leave British banks excluded from the EU. That depended on the assumption, of course, that the EU still existed. If it could be subverted then the dilemma could be resolved.

As a Brexit campaigner from Chatham House told me it was a question of stepping back from Europe and watching it disintegrate. This implies passivity on behalf of these Brexit interests but I would suggest that in reality they would be proactive. Just as the State Department and the CIA have been proactive in destabilizing Europe’s periphery with a view to destabilizing Europe itself.

The fact that Brexit is only a trigger for “more exciting” perspectives explains many of the peculiarities of the Brexit campaign. They have done nothing to elaborate a clear alternative to EU membership, they don’t want to leave any time soon and many of their promises over the NHS and immigration have already been shown to be worthless.These things are beside the point and there will be no attempt to negotiate in good faith It also explains why 250 billion has already been “made available” to the British economy i.e. the City of London: while the revolution is awaited in Europe an interim bailout of the zombie banks is inevitable. All the talk of freeing up funds for social spending, the Brexit turn to the working class, is simply hot air. It’s the banks, silly!

Of course, Brexit brings in its stead enormous costs. We have ,at one fell swoop, thrown away all our geopolitical trump cards- cards which would have enabled us to negotiate a way out of the troubled waters of end of empire. The Comprehensive Strategic Partnership with China was of enormous potential benefit to us but was entirely dependent on our being a bridge into Europe. A deal with our largest creditor and, therefore, holder of sterling denominated assets was crucial if we were to achieve , at least, an orderly decline in our currency. It also brought with it the possibility of a new role for the City as an offshore trading hub for the Yuan and the extension of the finance necessary for national reconstruction. That is all effectively over- powerful financial interests did not want the deal and they have won out.

And yet, man does not live by bread alone. The English people have expressed a wish to regain control of their own destiny. They have every right to do so. The regional integration process which is everywhere evident, from Mercosur and ALBA, to the African Union, Asean and the Eurasian Union concerns the voluntary ceding of sovereignty not the submission to a Bonaparte or a Bolivar. It is true that the UK, in as far as it still exists, can negotiate deals with whoever it wishes without belonging to the EU’s formal structures. Were it a question, that is, simply of Brexit rather than of turning Britain into a base for a neocolonial project, for the next episode in the extension of the Empire of Chaos.

Here is the rub. Here is why the British people made a catastrophic error on Thursday, one which they will live to bitterly regret. Britain will pay a terrible price for hosting a neocon junta which is set to continue Britain’s long and dishonorable tradition of interference in the sovereign affairs of other countries. Until we remove it “the markets” will be ruthless. China who intimated back in 2010 that they were no longer buying UK government bonds, no longer have a motive to hold them or to invest them in Britain. Several hundred billion could be dumped for gold, for example, leaving sterling reeling and subjecting Britain to an apocalyptic inflationary crisis.

In the meantime events are moving a breakneck speed.

All the signs are that the Junta has already lost it’s nerve following the massive, unprecedented falls in sterling on Friday. Following Cameron’s resignation Johnson and Gove appeared at one of the most lackluster press conferences ever given. It was positively funereal. Johnson appeared to be in state of bewilderment  whilst Gove with his langue de bois makes Van Rompuy look like d’Artagnan. Significantly, Johnson blurted out some incoherences seemingly addressed to Britain’s youth implying that there would still be free movement. He knows and fears that while the brexiteers hold the cabbage patches, the youth may hold the streets.

At the same time the European leadership have shown that they are not completely inept and have seen through the game. That’s why they put out the blunt message: get out now! They know that Gove wants to string things out, a bit like Trotsky at Brest-Litovsk, scoring propaganda points whilst awaiting for Clinton and the neocon cavalry to help put the European “establishment”to the sword.

On the home front, Salmond and McGuinness, two of the sharpest cards in British politics reacted promptly and appositely. The union is now dead in the water: Scotland will begin negotiations to remain in Europe and will only be able to do so as an independent country. We will inevitably choose that option especially as the true enormity of Thursday’s aberration become evident. At the same time, there can be no repartition of Ireland now that the existing border has de facto ceased to exist.

Unsurprisingly, the Brexit vote has triggered a conspiracy to remove Corbyn from the Labour leadership.

Britain now enters into a prolonged economic and constitutional crisis. Its resolution depends most of all on the recognition of the sovereign wishes of all the nations which make up the UK and the exposure of the false position of the Brexit Junta and its neoconservative, neocolonial agenda.

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Corbyn allies urge him to commit to EU freedom of movement

Posted by seumasach on August 4, 2017

Independent

4th August, 2017

Allies of Jeremy Corbyn have publicly urged the Labour leader to commit to retaining the free movement of workers between Britain and the European Union – as the party’s Brexit stance comes under increasing scrutiny.

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A second Brexit referendum? It’s looking more likely by the day

Posted by seumasach on August 3, 2017

Vernon Bogdanor is a rarity in British politics, combining clear logical mind with a comprehensive knowledge of the British political system. The outcome here however depends on wider geopolitical issues which have come into stark focus following the defeat of Trump’s political agenda by the US establishment aided and abetted by the Brexit junta. Britain’s apparently haphazard, insouciant approach to Brexit negotiations reflect this new alliance which seeks to destabilize the EU as well as Russia and China. The geopolitical stakes have suddenly reached new heights with real risks of global war. For the moment the spotlight is on Europe and whether the European leadership can defend itself against its one-time allies, the USA and the UK.

Guardian

3rd August, 2017

Negotiations on Britain’s withdrawal from the EU have now begun in earnest. They are required, according to article 50, to “take account of the framework” for Britain’s “future relationship with the union”. But what is that future relationship to be?

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Johnson seeks “great” free trade deal with Australia

Posted by seumasach on July 30, 2017

“Mr Johnson said he expected a “great” free trade deal with Australia which would cover the issue of visas.” Wow! “Great deals” all round! It’s looking very much like TTIP-Trans-Oceanic Trade and Investment Deal, a new British Empire based on the old values of “free trade”. But there may be a fly in the ointment:

Ms Bishop said: “We discussed Brexit and the potential for Australia to enter into a free trade agreement with the European Union, and subsequently a free trade agreement between Australia and the UK.”

Britain’s TTIP -type deals are not compatible with free trade deals with the EU since the EU will not allow the UK to become a conduit for GM crops and other dangerous or substandard products. Johnson looks full of confidence but as Britain crashes out of the EU we will see if they have any realistic basis.

Express and Star

27th July, 2017

Australia’s foreign minister has said the country is hoping to strike a “high-quality, comprehensive free trade agreement” with the UK following Brexit.

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Australian firms ‘very interested’ in Ireland as EU bridge post-Brexit

Posted by seumasach on February 25, 2017

With the election of Trump and the Brexit vote we will see the fate of economic nationalism in a world globalized as never before. Trump, I suspect, is perfectly aware of the need to do deals with China and others but the UK has manoeuvered itself into a corner: such deals are contingent on the UK being the gateway into the EU. That is why so much is going into a big push in 2017 to bring down the EU. Let’s hope, for all our sakes, that it fails.

RTE

24th February

Australia’s Foreign Minister Julie Bishop has said Britain leaving the European Union represents an opportunity for Ireland.

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May and the eternal triangle

Posted by seumasach on January 28, 2017

Cailean Bochanan

28th January, 2017

If Theresa wants a special relationship with Donald  and Donald wants a “fantastic relationship” with Vladimir, what kind of relationship with does Theresa  want with Vladimir? She wants to “engage but beware”: beware, no doubt, that Vladimir’s relationship with Donald doesn’t get too fantastic.

All in all, May’s response seems to be in keeping with with Britain’s values of tolerance and laissez faire but the reality is that May used the Washington trip to mark a complete about turn in British foreign policy aligning it with that of Donald Trump. Indeed, her words are the surest confirmation yet of the winds of change blowing in Washington.
Quite simply May totally the contradicted the Fallon doctrine, an obvious shot across the bows of Trump, proposed by her defense secretary only last week that “The UK is sending a clear message that we are committed to defending democracy across the world and support Ukraine’s sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity.” According to May, however: “The days of Britain and America intervening in sovereign countries in an attempt to remake the world in our own image are over.” The shift is confirmed by her foreign secretary’s statement on Syria in which, ever gracious in defeat, he concedes that Assad may be allowed to stay after all.
Of course, one could point to elements in May’ speech contradicting this interpretation, notably her claims that the UK and US will continue to lead the world in the face of rising challenge of Russia and China. I would respond that these contradictions stem from the hybrid nature of her speech: it is like an adaption of the speech she would have given had Clinton won the presidency to the emerging Trump doctrine. Indeed, she continues to sing the praises of doctrines which Trump has totally repudiated such free trade and adherence to the various “globalist” institutions. In an unfortunate lapse she said at the joint press conference that she “thinks” Trump has just given his 100% backing for NATO.
Most interestingly, May reaffirms that she doesn’t wish the EU to fail. I wouldn’t rule out that she is telling the truth on this. After all, she has only recently given a long speech focused on Britain’s need to make a trade deal with Europe post-Brexit. Is that really compatible with this new deal with the USA. Europe rejected TTIP: will they really accept it through the back door via a trade deal with Britain. May may be cognizant of Ukraine’s attempt to play both sides in trade deals with Russia and the EU: they ended up with nothing.
UK/US leadership in the world is bluff and bluster: trumpet the charge whilst stealthily retreating. But the West truly will be lost if we don’t begin constructive engagement with the rising stars of the East soon and May must already deep in anxious dreams be haunted by that smug grin of George Osborne standing triumphantly alongside President Xi.

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