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Archive for the ‘brexit crisis’ Category

Liam Fox confirms de facto remain position

Posted by seumasach on December 13, 2017

“What I want to see is a full and comprehensive agreement on trade that’s as close to what we have today as possible,” said Fox, an ally of outspoken Brexit advocates like Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson. “If you had a very open and liberal agreement that’s virtually identical to what we have today, for example, then the transitional period wouldn’t need to be as long or as difficult as if it was to something different.”[my italics]

Quoted in Bloomberg

13th December, 2017

Liam Fox, arch-Eurosceptic and Atlanticist confirms that the government have adopted a de facto remain position confirming my own analysis.

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May surrenders as Brexiteers agree to go quietly

Posted by seumasach on December 9, 2017

Cailean Bochanan

9th December, 2017

On a historic day, yesterday Britain resigned its role as a junior partner in the Atlantic Alliance and embraced a new role as a junior partner in the European Alliance.

Something had to give way as the impossibility of Brexit became increasingly obvious. I had anticipated that it would be the government and the Tory party. Instead they both emerged intact at the expense of Brexit itself.

The thorn at the heart of the Brexit gorse bush had been the question of the status of Northern Ireland. Given the impossibility of a hard border between north and south Northern Ireland had to be given special status meaning de facto, continued membership of the Single Market and the Custom’s Union. The loyalist veto of this arrangement meant instead that the whole UK has been given a special status: the UK will remain in both the Single Market and the Custom’s Union. Officially, this arrangement is only temporary, for the duration of the so-called transition. However, since the Irish border problem will not simply go away the UK’s special status will continue indefinitely to be finally resolved, presumably, by our renewed integration into the EU. There is no alternative.

One would have anticipated an immediate backlash against this arrangement by the Tory brexiteers but they have simply rolled over. The British ruling has shown again some of their more positive, traditional attributes: an ability to act pragmatically and to discard useless ideology. What cannot be cannot be, and Brexit cannot be.

That begs the question: what was it all about in the first place? That is beyond my meagre intellectual abilities. However, two things may be pertinent. Firstly, the EU shows no sign of falling apart as was hoped and expected by the neocon wing of the Brexit movement. Euroscepticism is not on the rise and the Catalan declaration of independence, which elicited a brief frisson of excitement in the Brexit camp has not triggered a cascade of regional movements towards the CIA’s favourite Europe of the Regions outcome. Secondly, Trump has adopted a hostile attitude to the UK and has already, effectively, ended the Special Relationship with the result that Britain just has nowhere to go.

These changes may also explain why the Europeans have conceded what they said they would never concede, namely, that the UK can leave the EU and still enjoy the benefits of membership of the EU. But, of course, the unspoken, unspeakable reality, from the brexiteers point of view, is that we aren’t really leaving the EU, except in a purely formal sense. But for the meantime we are in a state of limbo with a special status under a kind of EU mandate.

Ultimately, this astonishing outcome reveals the level of disconnect between ideology and reality. All the current ideologies flow from the Anglophilosophy  and the presuppositions of Anglo-American globalization- globalization from below at the expense of sovereign structures. This is perfectly embodied in the Brexit cult of “free-trade”. What we seeing now is globalization accompanied by global governance stemming from sharing of sovereignty. The Single Market reflects that but it will be even more evident as the One Belt, One Road project takes off. Who is going to regulate or “nationalise” the high-speed trains which will soon connect China and Europe? Who will regulate international trade and an international means of payment now that the Dollar-fiat reserve currency system is coming to an end? Of course, some of these agencies of global governance already exist but they will undoubtedly be transformed, extended or replaced in the coming years.

Britain has, as of yesterday, begun to resolve it’s relationship with the nascent multipolar world order. The fact that Brexit is only a virtual event, or, at least, a real non-event and that that is understood by all will have immediate effects. Most importantly, our deal with are major creditor, China, should be back on to the accompanying smirk of George Osborne. Major problems lie ahead concerning uncontrolled debt, speculative bubbles and lack of income at personal, corporate and national levels with the banks once again looking vulnerable. But, as of yesterday, we will resolve them within a European and multipolar context.

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EU takes aim at UK tax perks

Posted by seumasach on November 8, 2017

“With the future of the City of London at stake, British chancellor Philip Hammond has previously hinted the UK could become an offshore tax haven if the UK’s financial centre was locked out of the single market.”

EUObserver

26th October, 2017

EU competition authorities have sunk their teeth into UK tax perks for multinationals amid a wider crackdown on aggressive tax avoidance. The European Commission said on Thursday (26 October) it had opened an “in-depth investigation” into a British law that let big corporations shift profits to offshore subsidiaries. It said the opening of the probe did “not prejudge the outcome of the investigation”.

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5 reasons why no deal could mean no Brexit

Posted by seumasach on October 26, 2017

May’s position of chaperone for Brexit looks certain to be coming to an end. The logic of things is that the Brexit hardliners will bid for power if they are not already completely demoralized. Lacking a sufficient base of support for a no deal Brexit they will then burn out quickly leading to a Labour government. The strange irony here is that Labour probably could successfully negotiate the three outstanding , thorny issues of the divorce agreement but would they want to? By then the public mood will have changed as reality begins to dawn on all but the most blinkered. The jolly, little Brexit venture may be coming to an end and may be remembered as a curious aberration a bit like the Gallipolli campaign. A historical inquest would reach a verdict of death by misadventure.

Politico

22nd October, 2017

LONDON — A specter is hanging over Westminster — the specter of “no deal” killing off Brexit altogether.

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Statement by Michel Barnier

Posted by seumasach on September 23, 2017

“With regard to Ireland, the United Kingdom is the co-guarantor of the Good Friday Agreement. Today’s speech does not clarify how the UK intends to honour its special responsibility for the consequences of its withdrawal for Ireland. Our objective is to preserve the Good Friday Agreement in all its dimensions, as well as the integrity of the Single Market and the Customs Union.”

This is just the most difficult of the three very thorny issues which have to be dealt with when negotiations re-open on Monday. Barnier presents them in a clear and rational manner which is more than can be said for the British media. Given the state of “opinion” in the UK May’s task, for she has now abrogated all powers to herself to conduct these negotiations, seems impossible.

European Commission

22nd September, 2017

In her speech in Florence, Prime Minister Theresa May has expressed a constructive spirit which is also the spirit of the European Union during this unique negotiation.

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Brexit department chief to join PM’s team

Posted by seumasach on September 23, 2017

In the next round of talks next week, he will sit alongside Davis, who will continue to be the “principal negotiator” for the U.K. However, the government official was at pains to stress that the prime minister, not Davis, remained the “chief negotiator.”

As the Murdoch press’s long touted bet that the Euro and the EU will collapse looks to be a losing one, it is Brexit itself which is imploding. This quiet move essentially neuters the Department for Exiting the EU and puts May in charge. We now await the blowback from the eurosceptics but Jonson may have served as a conductor leading their lightning to earth in a favorite trick of the British ruling class. Farage is right to smell a rat after hearing May’s Florence speech but, then again, he has to ask himself what happened to his promise on the morning of the Brexit vote to “bring down this failed project and lead us to a Europe of sovereign nations”. The speech itself moves the government towards Labour’s ambiguous position whose  merit is to put off the catastrophe that is Brexit until all but the diehards have agreed to forget it. Meanwhile May is left with the impossible task of negotiating a Brexit which she no longer wants and the main reason for going to Florence was to appeal to EU negotiators for understanding of her predicament.

Real Info News

18th September, 2017

Britain’s top Brexit negotiator, Oliver Robbins, left his job in the Department for Exiting the European Union to work directly for Theresa May in Downing Street.

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Brexit: Japanese companies set to leave London

Posted by seumasach on September 16, 2017

As I have argued from the start Brexit simply meant throwing away our geo-political Trump card, namely. the UK as a hub for foreign investment seeking access to the EU single market. Such deals as Osborne’s with China would thus have facilitated the UK’s transition from an economy based on imperial privilege and parasitic finance to that of a nation state amongst others in new multipolar, post-US/UK hegemony world order. As it is we have embarked on a terrifying journey into the abyss of global irrelevance.

Deutsche Welle

16th September, 2017

 

Japan’s largest car-maker and a major finance firm have announced that they are reconsidering their operations in Britain after the UK completes its divorce from the European Union, a serious setback to the British government’s efforts to convince companies here that it will be business as usual after Brexit.

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May’s post-Brexit trade policy unravels in Japan

Posted by seumasach on September 2, 2017

Politics

31st August, 2017

One of the core Brexit arguments was that outside of the EU we could negotiate our own trade deals. We wouldn’t have to sit with 27 other nations anymore, trying to construct a uniform trade policy between such disparate economies. We wouldn’t have to be hobbled by the political need to protect things like oranges, which we don’t care about, and could focus on things like financial services, which we do. Britain would be unleashed, a roaming imperial tiger on the global stage.

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Ireland to SNUB Brexit Britain and get energy direct from FRANCE

Posted by seumasach on August 11, 2017

Express

27th July, 2017

IRELAND is threatening to snub Brexit Britain as the country’s leaders turn to the European Union to help bolster its supply of gas and electricity.

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Brexit: a neoconservative coup

Posted by seumasach on August 4, 2017

I’ve decided to repost my initial response to the Brexit vote. I feel a bit like the German professor who was asked whether he had ever been wrong.” Once, just once,” he replied: “I thought I was wrong but I was right.” This appeared to be wrong since the neo-con agenda was disrupted by Trump’s election victory. The ascendency of Congress and the passage of the anti-Russian sanctions with only five congressmen voting against effectively reverses this. We now see how Brexit ties in with the US establishment’s plans to destabilize the EU as a prelude to doing the same to Russia and China. It’s all as clear as day!

Cailean Bochanan

26th June, 2016

Now that we have voted for Brexit we will not know what exactly the program of the Remain camp was.

However, the program of the Brexit leadership was blurted out by an emotional Nigel Farrage in the early hours of Friday morning:

“For the whole of Europe.  I hope this victory brings down this failed project and leads us to a Europe of sovereign nations, trading together, being friends together, co-operating together.  And let’s get rid of the flag, the [EU] anthem, Brussels and all that has gone wrong.”

It may come as a surprise to little englander Brexit voters that they weren’t voting to leave Europe but to destroy it. It wasn’t a vote against globalisation but for Anglo-American globalisation. Neo-conservatism, the infection that just won’t go away, is back in the form of a new unelected junta about to take control of Britain. It’s chief ideologue is Michael Gove of the neocon Henry Jackson society. According to Gove:

“For Europe, Britain voting to leave will be the beginning of something potentially even more exciting — the democratic liberation of a whole continent”

So we are to leave Europe in order, subsequently, to meddle in it.

This is Gove’s permanent revolution agenda to borrow a term from one of the neocons great inspirational figures, Leon Trotsky.

In my last article on the EU question I noted that that Cameron had failed to negotiate the opt-outs that City of London interests would require whilst at the same time Brexit would leave British banks excluded from the EU. That depended on the assumption, of course, that the EU still existed. If it could be subverted then the dilemma could be resolved.

As a Brexit campaigner from Chatham House told me it was a question of stepping back from Europe and watching it disintegrate. This implies passivity on behalf of these Brexit interests but I would suggest that in reality they would be proactive. Just as the State Department and the CIA have been proactive in destabilizing Europe’s periphery with a view to destabilizing Europe itself.

The fact that Brexit is only a trigger for “more exciting” perspectives explains many of the peculiarities of the Brexit campaign. They have done nothing to elaborate a clear alternative to EU membership, they don’t want to leave any time soon and many of their promises over the NHS and immigration have already been shown to be worthless.These things are beside the point and there will be no attempt to negotiate in good faith It also explains why 250 billion has already been “made available” to the British economy i.e. the City of London: while the revolution is awaited in Europe an interim bailout of the zombie banks is inevitable. All the talk of freeing up funds for social spending, the Brexit turn to the working class, is simply hot air. It’s the banks, silly!

Of course, Brexit brings in its stead enormous costs. We have ,at one fell swoop, thrown away all our geopolitical trump cards- cards which would have enabled us to negotiate a way out of the troubled waters of end of empire. The Comprehensive Strategic Partnership with China was of enormous potential benefit to us but was entirely dependent on our being a bridge into Europe. A deal with our largest creditor and, therefore, holder of sterling denominated assets was crucial if we were to achieve , at least, an orderly decline in our currency. It also brought with it the possibility of a new role for the City as an offshore trading hub for the Yuan and the extension of the finance necessary for national reconstruction. That is all effectively over- powerful financial interests did not want the deal and they have won out.

And yet, man does not live by bread alone. The English people have expressed a wish to regain control of their own destiny. They have every right to do so. The regional integration process which is everywhere evident, from Mercosur and ALBA, to the African Union, Asean and the Eurasian Union concerns the voluntary ceding of sovereignty not the submission to a Bonaparte or a Bolivar. It is true that the UK, in as far as it still exists, can negotiate deals with whoever it wishes without belonging to the EU’s formal structures. Were it a question, that is, simply of Brexit rather than of turning Britain into a base for a neocolonial project, for the next episode in the extension of the Empire of Chaos.

Here is the rub. Here is why the British people made a catastrophic error on Thursday, one which they will live to bitterly regret. Britain will pay a terrible price for hosting a neocon junta which is set to continue Britain’s long and dishonorable tradition of interference in the sovereign affairs of other countries. Until we remove it “the markets” will be ruthless. China who intimated back in 2010 that they were no longer buying UK government bonds, no longer have a motive to hold them or to invest them in Britain. Several hundred billion could be dumped for gold, for example, leaving sterling reeling and subjecting Britain to an apocalyptic inflationary crisis.

In the meantime events are moving a breakneck speed.

All the signs are that the Junta has already lost it’s nerve following the massive, unprecedented falls in sterling on Friday. Following Cameron’s resignation Johnson and Gove appeared at one of the most lackluster press conferences ever given. It was positively funereal. Johnson appeared to be in state of bewilderment  whilst Gove with his langue de bois makes Van Rompuy look like d’Artagnan. Significantly, Johnson blurted out some incoherences seemingly addressed to Britain’s youth implying that there would still be free movement. He knows and fears that while the brexiteers hold the cabbage patches, the youth may hold the streets.

At the same time the European leadership have shown that they are not completely inept and have seen through the game. That’s why they put out the blunt message: get out now! They know that Gove wants to string things out, a bit like Trotsky at Brest-Litovsk, scoring propaganda points whilst awaiting for Clinton and the neocon cavalry to help put the European “establishment”to the sword.

On the home front, Salmond and McGuinness, two of the sharpest cards in British politics reacted promptly and appositely. The union is now dead in the water: Scotland will begin negotiations to remain in Europe and will only be able to do so as an independent country. We will inevitably choose that option especially as the true enormity of Thursday’s aberration become evident. At the same time, there can be no repartition of Ireland now that the existing border has de facto ceased to exist.

Unsurprisingly, the Brexit vote has triggered a conspiracy to remove Corbyn from the Labour leadership.

Britain now enters into a prolonged economic and constitutional crisis. Its resolution depends most of all on the recognition of the sovereign wishes of all the nations which make up the UK and the exposure of the false position of the Brexit Junta and its neoconservative, neocolonial agenda.

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Corbyn allies urge him to commit to EU freedom of movement

Posted by seumasach on August 4, 2017

Independent

4th August, 2017

Allies of Jeremy Corbyn have publicly urged the Labour leader to commit to retaining the free movement of workers between Britain and the European Union – as the party’s Brexit stance comes under increasing scrutiny.

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