Posted by seumasach on July 30, 2016
The hawks and harpies coalescing around Clinton are making threatening noises but their options on the ground in Syria are very limited and have just become a lot more limited with the loss of Turkey to Russian diplomacy. It all boils down to whether they are prepared to challenge Russia directly, risking all out confrontation. The rather lukewarm warmongering proposals below suggest not. Trump is the man of the moment in that sense: his policy of engagement with Russia against ISIS is consistent with the deeper underlying shifts in the global balance of forces. His Russia policy may be “controversial” but it is logical and realistic for an America in terminal decline.
As Hillary Clinton begins her final charge for the White House, her advisers are already recommending air strikes and other new military measures against the Assad regime in Syria.
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged: detente with Russia, US-Russia strategic partnership | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on July 18, 2016
16th July, 2016
“We will have a very good relationship with Russia” promises the mercurial Republican nominee for president who once referred to Russian President Vladimir Putin as his 60 Minutes “stablemate.”
Posted in Disband NATO!, Global peace process | Tagged: trump agenda, US-Russia strategic partnership | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on July 14, 2016
Britain spurns China and moves closer to the USA. The USA moves closer to Russia. Therefore, it would appear that Anglo-American detente with Russia is on the horizon whilst China is the new enemy in a move which reverses Nixon’s famous diplomacy of the early seventies.
14th July, 2016
The US reportedly seeks to create a joint HQ with Russia to share intelligence and conduct “synchronized” strikes on Islamists in Syria. The plan, if approved, would see unusually deep military-to-military ties for the two nations amid uneasy relations.
Posted in Multipolar world | Tagged: US-Russia strategic partnership | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on February 25, 2016
Kerry: “Cooperation between Russia and the United States via foreign and military agencies will be stipulated as part of further work.”
22nd February, 2016
What is cooking between Russia and Iran? Evidently, there is something terribly important happening for Russian Defence Minister Sergey Shoigu to make a rushed visit to Tehran on Sundayso soon after his Iranian counterpart’s ‘working visit’ to Moscow only last week. Shoigu brought a message from President Vladimir Putin, which he handed over in person to Iranian President Hassan Rouhani. No further details have been divulged.
Posted in Syria | Tagged: east-west coalition against ISIL, US-Russia strategic partnership | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on February 15, 2016
15th February, 2016
The meeting of the International Syria Support Group seems to have marked the takeover of the Syrian situation by the White House, to the detriment of the « neo-conservatives » and the « liberal hawks ». The final declaration imposes supervision of the UNO by the US and Russia, which removes Jeffrey Feltman from his prerogatives. It imposes free circulation of humanitarian aid and the end of hostilities. The formula chosen legitimises Russian military action, not only against the al-Nusra Front and Daesh, but also against Ahrar el-Sham and Jaysh el-Islam. However, the declaration does not mention the Franco-British project for the creation of a pseudo-Kurdistan.
Posted in Syria | Tagged: end sanctions against Russia!, US Russia cooperation, US-Russia relations, US-Russia strategic partnership | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on December 16, 2015
16th December, 2015
US Secretary of State John Kerry made public statements in Moscow where he announced that Washington has abandoned its isolation of Russia, according to Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova.
Posted in Global peace process, Syria | Tagged: east-west coalition against ISIL, US-Russia strategic partnership | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on October 29, 2014
“Anyone looking to Putin to lead some great crusade against the US is on the evidence of this speech going to be disappointed. As some have noticed, what he actually wants from the US is not conflict but cooperation.”
The West Should Listen More Closely
29th October, 2014
Last Friday, Vladimir Putin delivered the single most important speech on foreign policy since he became President of Russia in 2000. Mikhail Gorbachev said he thought it was the best, and most significant speech Putin has ever made.
Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged: Putin, Russian diplomacy, US-Russia strategic partnership | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on October 3, 2014
3rd October, 2014
I wrote ten days ago that I could hear the faint sound of the West beating the retreat in Ukraine. Now I can say the retreat is gathering momentum. The Barack Obama administration may have signaled that the worst is over in the standoff with Russia.
Posted in Coup d'état in Ukraine | Tagged: Obama's realist turn, retreat from empire, US-Russia strategic partnership | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on June 15, 2014
15th June, 2014
The betrayal of the Iraq army leadership facilitating last week’s capture of Mosul by the so-called ISIL may become a watershed in US foreign policy in providing a significant diversion from the Ukrainian fiasco and turning attention from quasi-cold war tensions towards the new Obama doctrine already outlined in his West Point speech, anticipated by Blair’s 23rd April speech and ratified by an intervention by Kofi Annan last week on BBC Newsnight.
What is this new doctrine? It is called, with great originality, the War on Terror. Thus, we return to 2001 and the post-9/11 doctrine but in a geo-political environment which has become completely transformed. In 2003 , on the eve of the Iraq War, the USA was still regarded as the undisputed global superpower, even though a resurgent Russia and China were already disputing that status. Today it has suffered a series of military reverses and the catastrophic state of its economy and society can longer be hidden. After the dismissal of Rumsfeld in 2006 in a palace coup the stage was set for Obama to turn around US foreign policy in the aftermath of the failed Iraq and Afghan wars. He is generally regarded as having failed in this respect and that judgement has seemed to have been confirmed by the dramatic events of the last week. We appear to be condemned to relive the historical cycle of US military intervention.
But, as I say, the context is completely different. The invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan post-9/11 were the beginning of a global war for hegemony. This war failed and no such perspectives are in sight for a severely weakened USA. Rather than being the opening shot in an attempted roll-back of Russian and Chinese power War on Terror II could lead to a re-engagement of these two emerging superpowers by Washington. Tony Blair’s above-mentioned speech already prefigures this development:
“In this speech I will set out how we should do this, including the recognition that on this issue, whatever our other differences, we should be prepared to reach out and cooperate with the East, and in particular, Russia and China.”
This was followed up by Kofi Anna’s call for a de facto alliance with Russia , China and Iran:
“Mr Annan – the UN’s former envoy to Syria – said he did not believe that there was the “stomach” for “boots on the ground”, but that a group made up of permanent members of the UN Security Council, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Turkey and possibly Egypt could agree a common approach.”
Already, the ISIL surge has raised a prospect that was previously unthinkable: joint US-Iranian military co-operation.
I have, for some time, been talking up a strategic alliance between Washington and Moscow as the great paradigm shift in global geo-politics. It was, admittedly, difficult to see how such a shift could come about. Indeed, the failure of Obama’s reset was just another amongst a litany of seeming failures. But if that remains a strategic goal of Obama, and I believe that it must, then War on TerrorII would be the key to its realization.
The roller-coaster unleashed by the Arab spring continues. The events in Iraq last week serve as a cover for the surreal Ukraine fiasco, which in turn obscured defeat in the Syrian war which in turn diverted the world’s attention from the chaos engendered in Libya by NATO intervention. Since the hand of the NATO and Western intelligence assets is clearly present in all these scenarios you might think Obama’s strategy is merely to cover failure with even more failure. But their may be a different logic at play,a convoluted logic of end of empire. If so, the cycle may be broken in Iraq and by the time the ISIL has been checked we may see the clear outlines of a new international order.
Posted in Iraq, New Cold War | Tagged: End of empire, Obama's realist turn, retreat from empire, US-Russia strategic partnership | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on June 12, 2014
Annan’s intervention chimes in with Blair’s 23rd April speech in calling for an anti-terrorist alliance with Russia and China. Russia and China would embrace this and, in my view, it correspond’s to Obama’s deeper geo-strategic goals. As for Britain and France, they don’t quite know what to think since they are not sure what Washington thinks. Significantly Annan also includes Iran in this alliance.
12th June, 2014
Former United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan has called for a core group of countries to work together to help Iraq and Syria resolve the conflicts in their countries.
Posted in Iraq | Tagged: East-West alliance against ISIL, US-Russia strategic partnership | Leave a Comment »
Posted by seumasach on May 23, 2014
The Ukraine crisis has caused yet another standoff between the U.S. and Russia, and with talk of further sanctions against Russia abounding, a thaw in the relationship doesn’t seem to be on the horizon. How can the two sides rekindle a spirit of mutual understanding, and what’s needed to solve their grievances in a pragmatic way? Oksana is joined by former US Secretary of Commerce, Michael Kantor, and Dr Jerrold Green, the President of the Pacific Council on International Policy, to explore these issues.
Posted in Coup d'état in Ukraine, Uncategorized | Tagged: US-Russia strategic partnership | Leave a Comment »