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Archive for the ‘Financial crisis’ Category

The financial system established in England after 1688, based on usurious lending to the state by private bankers, is reaching its final blowout in the form of a series of devastating bubbles and a massive bailout of the financiers with public money. But the issuance of money doesn’t have to be in the hands of a private consortium: another credit system is possible.

30 reasons for Great Depression 2 by 2011

Posted by smeddum on November 19, 2008

30 reasons for Great Depression 2 by 2011

Myearthlink

New-New Deal, bailouts, trillions in debt, antitax mindset spell disaster

By Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch

Nov 17, 2008
ARROYO GRANDE, Calif. (MarketWatch) — By 2011? No recovery? No new bull? “Hey Paul, why do you keep talking about a bigger crash coming by 2011?” Readers ask that often. So here’s a sequel to my predictions of 2000 and 2004, with a look three years ahead:

First. Dot-com crash

We pinpointed the dot-com crash at its peak, in a March 20, 2000 column: “Next crash? Sorry, you won’t see it coming.” Bulls-eye: The dot-com bubble popped. The economy went into a 30-month recession. The stock market lost $8 trillion. And today, over eight years later, the market is still roughly 40% below its 2000 peak. See previous Paul B. Farrell.

Factor in inflation and the average stock has lost well over 50% of its value. Stocks have proven to be a very big loser, a bad investment for Americans, thanks to Wall Street’s selfish greed, plus the complicity and naiveté of politicians, press and public. Read the rest of this entry »

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Japan economists call for ‘Obama bonds’

Posted by seumasach on November 18, 2008

By Kosuke Takahashi
Asia Times

18th November, 2008
TOKYO – Japanese economists, increasingly concerned that the United States might seek to pay its enormous and growing debt obligations in a weakened US dollar, are looking to the possibility of US Treasuries being issued in yen.
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Germany’s Steinmeier Calls for EU to Rescue Ailing Car Industry

Posted by seumasach on November 18, 2008

“We must prevent healthy enterprises from becoming affected (by this crisis),” Steinmeier said. “Therefore, we must fight to keep the structures which made the automobile industry so strong in Germany from disintegrating.”

Deutsche-Welle

16th November, 2008

Effectively giving the thumbs down to calls for nationalization measures, Steinmeier and Jean-Claude Juncker, Luxembourg’s Prime Minister and head of the Eurogroup of single currency nations, demanded late on Monday, Nov. 17, that the EU members states should develop a common rescue package to help those car manufacturers stricken by the current economic crisis.

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The IMF Needs Fixing, and China Wants a Say

Posted by smeddum on November 18, 2008

The IMF Needs Fixing, and China Wants a Say
November 18,2008

Chinastakes.com

by Xu Yisheng

What to do about the IMF? This, of course, was a question bandied about at the recent G20 Summit hosted by George Bush in New York last weekend, though no decisions were taken. Japan promised to throw a bunch of money at the Fund, which is sorely in need of it amidst the present world economic turmoil, and it was gently suggested that China might also like to contribute a portion of its oceanic foreign reserves.

Perhaps China should, but there seem to be a lot of questions it wants answered before it does. Read the rest of this entry »

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November 15, 2008 Declaration of the Summit on Financial Markets and the World Economy

Posted by seumasach on November 18, 2008

This is the complete text of the G20 summit declaration.

On the face of it,  there is nothing here to show that Webster Tarpley’s fears of a IMF dictatorship have been realized. Thus:

The IMF, given its universal membership and core macro-financial expertise, should, in close coordination with the FSF and others, take a leading role in drawing lessons from the current crisis, consistent with its mandate.

The IMF is usually mentioned along with other institutions:

Ensure that the IMF, World Bank and other MDBs have sufficient resources to continue playing their role in overcoming the crisis.

I see no evidence that it is to be given the teeth that Brown sought:

the role of the IMF in providing macro-financial policy advice would be strengthened.

“Advice”, by definition is not enforcible, unless we see it as having mob connotations, which, admittedly,  it could have.

We underscored that the Bretton Woods Institutions must be comprehensively reformed so that they can more adequately reflect changing economic weights in the world economy and be more responsive to future challenges. Emerging and developing economies should have greater voice and representation in these institutions.

But Strauss-Kahn and others insist that the IMF has already been reformed and is ready to go: seemingly not, according to the G20.

We stress the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) important role in crisis response, welcome its new short-term liquidity facility, and urge the ongoing review of its instruments and facilities to ensure flexibility.

Rather than dictating it is to be subject to ongoing review.

We know the IMF is a bit strapped for cash: where are the readies up-front for its new short-term liquidity facility?

We should review the adequacy of the resources of the IMF, the World Bank Group and other multilateral development banks and stand ready to increase them where necessary.

But it is necessary in order to restore IMF power.

The Financial Stability Forum (FSF) must expand urgently to a broader membership of emerging economies, and other major standard setting bodies should promptly review their membership.

Another body, the FSF, is given a prominent role. Certainly, we need to look at the significance of this body.

Some clauses are clearly a shot across the bows of Washington and London:

National and regional authorities should implement national and international measures that protect the global financial system from uncooperative and non-transparent jurisdictions that pose risks of illicit financial activity.

This sounds like Angela Merkel’s bit about the Cayman Islands and Channel Islands.

Tax authorities, drawing upon the work of relevant bodies such as the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), should continue efforts to promote tax information exchange. Lack of transparency and a failure to exchange tax information should be vigorously addressed.

This looks like another reference to such tax havens.

National and regional authorities should also review business conduct rules to protect markets and investors, especially against market manipulation and fraud and strengthen their cross-border cooperation to protect the international financial system from illicit actors.  In case of misconduct, there should be an appropriate sanctions regime.

I wonder who these “illicit” actors could be? Are we talking about economic sanctions against Britain and the US.

This is a suitably nebulous document with the obligatory shibboleths and one or two interesting acronyms: however there is no basis for regarding it as restoring

” the IMF–which is the “iron fist” of the US Treasury– to its former glory so it can once again use its extortionist loans to thrust faltering nations into structural adjustment, privatization and slave wages”

as Mike Whitney has claimed.

Nor does Professor Chossudovsky’s claim that

“the hegemony of Wall Street remains unscathed. The tendency is towards a unipolar monetary system dominated by the United States and upheld by US military superiority. “

seem justified. One wouldn’t expect the Washington consensus to be dismantled overnight: it looks more like death by a thousand cuts. This summit hasn’t in itself resolved anything, but I would venture to suggest that the tendency is quite the opposite to that perceived by Professor Chossudovsky.

1.  We, the Leaders of the Group of Twenty, held an initial meeting in Washington on November 15, 2008, amid serious challenges to the world economy and financial markets.  We are determined to enhance our cooperation and work together to restore global growth and achieve needed reforms in the world’s financial systems. Read the rest of this entry »

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Niall Ferguson compares US to Japan’s “lost decade”

Posted by smeddum on November 18, 2008

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EU’s Juncker questions UK, U.S. crisis “leadership”

Posted by seumasach on November 17, 2008

“The Americans and the British had all the time they needed to accept the Eurogroup’s proposals for better regulation of the financial markets,” he said.
“That is something they specifically didn’t want, and so now it is not appropriate for them to pretend to lead others,” Juncker told parliament.

Interactive Investor

17th November, 2008

Britain and the United States should not portray themselves as shaping Europe’s response to the financial crisis having in the past rejected regulatory reform, Eurogroup Chairman Jean-Claude Juncker said.
“Two years ago at the G7 meeting under the German presidency of the G7 we were fairly blunt in calling for more elaborate rules for the financial markets,” Juncker, who chairs meetings of euro zone finance ministers, told the European Parliament.
“Those who refused to play ball just a little while ago cannot now pretend to be the trailblazers dictating Europe’s reaction,” he told the assembly during a debate on Monday.
Read the rest of this entry »

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Could the UK face a sterling crisis, or are we in one already?

Posted by seumasach on November 17, 2008

Professor Willem Buiter’s blog is an indispensable guide to the unfolding of the Great British economic catastrophe.

Willem Buiter

17th november, 2008

In an earlier post to this blog, I raised the possibility that the UK might face a triple financial crisis: a combined banking crisis, sovereign debt crisis and sterling crisis.  Let me be clearer than I was before about what I mean by a financial crisis.  A financial crisis is a situation where quantity rationing of would-be borrowers and would-be sellers of securities suddenly replaces normal market clearing through variations in interest rates or market prices of securities.

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How likely is a sterling crisis or: is London really Reykjavik-on-Thames?

Posted by seumasach on November 16, 2008

 

Maverecom

November 13th, 2008 

With the pound sterling dropping like a stone against most other currencies and credit default swap rates on long-term UK sovereign debt beginning to edge up, this is a good time to revisit a suggestion I made earlier on a number of occasions (e.g. herehere and here), that there is a non-trivial risk of the UK becoming the next Iceland.

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Financial crisis demonstration in Iceland

Posted by seumasach on November 16, 2008

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George Osborne: ‘It is my job to tell the truth’

Posted by seumasach on November 16, 2008

 

What kind of democracy is it where discussion of the most crucial issues facing us is ruled out of order? Britain badly needs glasnost, openness.

Guardian

16th november, 2008

George Osbourne today dismissed criticism that he lacked judgment in predicting a run on the pound, insisting it was his job to tell “the truth about the British economy”.

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