In These New Times

A new paradigm for a post-imperial world

Britain cannot easily dismiss Japanese Brexit warning letter

Posted by seumasach on September 4, 2016

At first clash with reality the Brexit agenda will simply disintegrate- this is just the beginning. Britain is not a “great trading nation” but a great debtor nation. Any path which leads us into conflict with our major creditors, investors and suppliers is simply madness.

Guardian

4th September, 2016

The Japanese government letter setting out its Brexit demands is deeply troubling to the UK since it is clear Japanese companies want Theresa May to negotiate a deal that leaves Britain not just in the EU customs union, and single market, but also retains a free flow of workers between the EU and the UK.

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Japan issues Brexit warning

Posted by seumasach on September 4, 2016

Independent

4th September, 2016

European economies will be thrown into “great turmoil” if the UK and EU cannot agree on a deal for Brexit that includes an element of free movement of labour, the Japanese government has warned.

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Australia must choose between US and China

Posted by seumasach on September 1, 2016

Asia Times

 

SYDNEY (Reuters) – A senior U.S. soldier said on Thursday Australia must choose between a stronger U.S. alliance or closer ties with China, and urged Canberra to take a tougher stance against Chinese claims in the South China Sea.

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Germany’s EU Commissioner ‘wouldn’t bet’ on Brexit happening

Posted by seumasach on August 31, 2016

Independent

31st August, 2016

Germany’s EU Commissioner has expressed doubts over whether the UK will actually leave the European Union, saying he would not “place any major bets on Brexit“.

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Never mind Labour, it’s the Conservative Party that’s about to implode

Posted by seumasach on August 29, 2016

 

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Tory split on Brexit opens

Posted by seumasach on August 29, 2016

A senior Conservative told the paper: “There’s a tussle going on here. The chief culprit is the chancellor.

“He has taken the position that there are no red lines, that you’ve got to stay part of the market and it doesn’t matter what you give way on. Hammond is operating as a blocking mechanism.”

Soon the divisions in the Labour Party will pale in comparison with those in the Tory Party. Hammond’s position is de facto “remain”. Remaining in the single market means remaining in the EU or possibly the EEA. The latter option is really quite pointless since it is merely a kind of downgraded membership. Hammond’s goal will be to split the Brexit camp and neutralise it: this is all too easy since they lack any coherent programme. As soon as a negotiation plan becomes an imperative the enormity of the Brexit fiasco will be there for all to see. As so often throughout history the worst thing that can happen to an oppositional movement is that they are put into power. Soon they will long for the old days of endless complaining and finger-pointing and, it has to be said, lying about the EU without any need for an alternative geopolitical vision.

Britain will retain access to single market and curb migration under plans considered by Theresa May

Telegraph

28th Auigust, 2016

Britain will retain access to the single market for financial sector and the car industry while curbing migration under plans being considered by Theresa May.

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TTIP has failed-but no one is admitting it, says German Vice-Chancellor

Posted by seumasach on August 28, 2016

 

“The UK was seen as one of the strongest supporters of TTIP in the EU, so its departure following the Brexit vote would remove one of the US’s closest allies in the talks.” 

Brexit is accelerating the uncoupling of Europe and the USA and the emergence of an independent Europe. In this sense, Brexit has been entirely salutary. Contrary to the myths pedalled by the Brexit camp, Britain has exerted great influence inside Europe- but it has been largely negative. If Britain now seeks a trade deal with the USA they will be in weak bargaining position and if it any ways resembles TTIP that will render a trade deal with Europe even more difficult than it would be anyway. In trying to negotiate trade deals with conflicting blocks our dilemma is worryingly reminiscent of that of Ukraine. Ukraine’s interests lay with the Eurasian free trade area but her “identity” pushed her towards the chimera of a deal with the EU.

Independent

28th August, 2016

The free trade negotiations between the European Union and the United States have failed, but “nobody is really admitting it”, Germany’s Vice-Chancellor Sigmar Gabriel has said.

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The Broken Chessboard: Brzezinski Gives Up on Empire

Posted by seumasach on August 27, 2016

The loss of the Turkey “vassal” secures the failure of the state Department’s Syria policy. At the same time, China has made a bold move in supporting Damascus militarily showing that they cannot be “contained” in the Asia-Pacific. The writing is on the wall for US hegemony as it has been for some time: the question really is can the USA abandon exceptionalism and enter into power sharing agreements with it’s rivals. Such leadership is badly needed but as the USA fragments into a chaos of interest groups, lobbies and identities where can it come from? Both Clinton’s neoconservative revival and Trump’s anti-China isolationism look like the pure fantasy of a nation unable to realistically assess it’s own status.

Mike Whitney

UNZ

25th August, 2016

The main architect of Washington’s plan to rule the world has abandoned the scheme and called for the forging of ties with Russia and China. While Zbigniew Brzezinski’s article in The American Interest titled “Towards a Global Realignment” has largely been ignored by the media, it shows that powerful members of the policymaking establishment no longer believe that Washington will prevail in its quest to extent US hegemony across the Middle East and Asia. Brzezinski, who was the main proponent of this idea and who drew up the blueprint for imperial expansion in his 1997 book The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives, has done an about-face and called for a dramatic revising of the strategy. Here’s an excerpt from the article in the AI:

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Joe Biden came, saw, but failed to conquer Turkey

Posted by seumasach on August 26, 2016

M.K.Bhadrakumar

Asia Times

26th August, 2016

If US Vice President Joe Biden hoped for a trade-off with Turkish President Recep Erdogan – US assurances over Euphrates River ‘red line’ for Kurdish militia in lieu of Turkey’s acquiescence with Islamist preacher Fetullah Gulen remaining in Pennsylvania – that was not to be. ‘Euphrates Shield’ pre-empted Biden’s bidding. Erdogan thereby made Gulen’s extradition a ‘stand-alone’ issue. US’s Syria policies are in free fall and Turkey is increasingly eyeing Russia and Iran as its key interlocutors to resolve the Syrian problem.

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Chinese political donations highlight Australian anxieties

Posted by seumasach on August 25, 2016

Since the anglo-saxon economic model is simply incapable of generating investment in the real economy Australia, like the UK and the USA, has become dependent on inward investment from China. It is now rebelling against this dependence, biting the hand that feeds it, along with it’s kith and kin in the USA and Britain in an alliance of losers. In this Oceanic dystopia “security concerns” trump economic interests. At the same time the notorious role of big money in running the political system suddenly becomes a problem when it’s a question of China rather than the homegrown oligarchy, or the Americans, buying politicians.

Asia Times

24th August, 2016

MELBOURNE–An influx of political donations from Chinese concerns has focused anxieties about the rising superpower’s growing influence here, while sparking calls for reform of the country’s lax political finance laws.

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Putin ‘wants to host Israeli-Palestinian peace talks in Moscow’

Posted by seumasach on August 25, 2016

This is the logical culmination of the emergence of Russia as the dominant military and diplomatic force in the Middle East.

Independent

25th August, 2016

Vladimir Putin is ready and willing to host peace talks aimed at resolving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, according to Egypt’s president.

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