In These New Times

A new paradigm for a post-imperial world

May’s post-Brexit trade policy unravels in Japan

Posted by seumasach on September 2, 2017

Politics

31st August, 2017

One of the core Brexit arguments was that outside of the EU we could negotiate our own trade deals. We wouldn’t have to sit with 27 other nations anymore, trying to construct a uniform trade policy between such disparate economies. We wouldn’t have to be hobbled by the political need to protect things like oranges, which we don’t care about, and could focus on things like financial services, which we do. Britain would be unleashed, a roaming imperial tiger on the global stage.

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Merkel and Macron back creation of eurozone finance minister and budget

Posted by seumasach on September 2, 2017

As anticipated Brexit has provided a spur to European integration: from the EU point of view Brexit has been a positive and necessary step. This is also timely in the light of the approaching financial crisis. The British government will be hoping to turn it into an opportunity to break up Europe, hence their seemingly bizarre conduct of the negotiations. We shall see.

Independent

29th August, 2017

Angela Merkel and Emmanuel Macron have thrown their weight behind the creation of a new powerful eurozone finance minister post that would oversee economic policy across the bloc.

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Hague despairs of Brexit

Posted by seumasach on August 31, 2017

The latest news is that Hague is leading the campaign against any backsliding on the Brexit decision.  He has not , therefore, despaired of Brexit and is all for pressing on with it come hell or high water. Adding to that the fact that Hague  claims he voted, remain and we have to admit that these are deep, and troubled, waters. It has now become fashionable for remain supporters to insist on Brexit being carried through despite the dire straits ahead. Also noteworthy is the flurry of excitement in the Brexit camp following the eruption of the Catalan crisis: this, presumably, was to be the catalyst for European disintegration. But, no one, least of all Trump, came to the support of the Catalan nationalists and the whole affair has blown over. Similarly, the post-electoral crisis in Germany seems to be heading to a resolution thanks to the co-operative approach of the SDP. This highlights the strength of consensus in Germany concerning Europe, trumping as it does ideological differences. European integration goes marching on to the despair of the British government.

Cailean Bochanan

31st August, 2017

In 2011 William Hague described the Euro “as a burning building with no exits”. But it appears to still be standing as the pound sinks to parity and , no doubt, beyond. And now he despairs of the Brexit process blaming the British people for their “mistake” in not giving their full backing to the government in the recent general election:

“I think the result was a mistake. Collectively, by the people of this country.”

One cannot help but recall Hague’s denunciation of the then Labour government in 2001:

“We have a Government that has contempt for the views of the people it governs.”

But I suppose we must concede that the electorate can make mistakes- after all they voted for Brexit in 2016, a decision whose catastrophic consequences have since become ever clearer. Indeed, one could argue that two wrongs make a right and that the British people corrected, to some extent, that fateful vote by failing to follow it up with a rounding endorsement of the Brexit Junta.

Would it have made any difference had they given May the thumbs up? According to Hague:

“Britain will get a worse deal as a result of the election.”

But what was the deal anyway given that Britain is totally dependent on inward investment and incoming labour to keep a wasteland created by forty years of Thatcherism afloat and both will be undermined by Brexit? Well, the hope was that the “burning building” could be brought to the ground. Hague’s despair is simply the realization that that is not going to happen.

The election has contributed to that conclusion. Britain needed a united front of the entire political class to apply maximum pressure. They appeared to have it but Labour was waiting to see which way the wind was blowing and have seen that it is still the prevailing westerly, blowing the ship of state back towards Europe where it now belongs if it belongs anywhere. They have adopted a de facto remain position after discussions with the Europeans. Oh, the treachery of it all!

But a more significant factor was the need for a united front with Washington led by a politician with the left-liberal credentials capable of influence in Europe. Someone like Hilary Clinton. Instead they have a man who opportunistically used the Brexit vote to advance his own nationalist credentials in order to win an election but who has since purged his team of ideologues of this hue. What remains is a realist administration based on the military which has no interest in either exporting a nationalist revolution or the neocon obsession with bringing down the EU. Indeed, Trump has, wittingly or unwittingly, advanced the cause of European integration and independence from US tutelage. The disarray in London following his election contributed mightily to discrediting European eurosceptic movements as well as these latter being tarred by association with the Beast in the White House.

And so we come to the “negotiations” with Brussels. As I predicted on the 26th June, 2016:

“The fact that Brexit is only a trigger for “more exciting” perspectives[the destabilization of Europe] explains many of the peculiarities of the Brexit campaign. They have done nothing to elaborate a clear alternative to EU membership, they don’t want to leave any time soon and many of their promises over the NHS and immigration have already been shown to be worthless.These things are beside the point and there will be no attempt to negotiate in good faith.

I rest on my laurels.

It remains only say that Hague has effectively announced the end of the Brexit neocon project. Europe will not fall but this government, and likely a whole lot else, will.

 

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Qatar turns its back on USA

Posted by seumasach on August 30, 2017

Alaraby

25th August, 2017

Qatar is interested in purchasing the same Russian missile defence system recently sold to Iran and Turkey, Qatar’s defence minister revealed on Wednesday.

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Krakow’s bold step to curb electromagnetic pollution reflects growing evidence of harm

Posted by seumasach on August 29, 2017

Lynne Wycherley

The Ecologist

12th January, 2017

As Kraków, Poland’s second city, takes steps to protect its citizens from rising electromagnetic ‘smog’ from mobile phones, wifi, Bluetooth, smart meters and other devices, Lynne Wycherley summarises 2016’s news highlights on the emerging bio-risks of rising exposure to non-ionisiong radiation. For how much longer can governments continue to ignore the growing evidence of harm?

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Donald Trump: another neocon or finally a realist?

Posted by seumasach on August 29, 2017

The difficulties in establishing the policy direction of the USA under Trump stem not only from the clear conflict between the White House and Congress, the CIA and the neocons but within the White House itself. This is because there are contradictions within the notion of “realism” in terms of foreign policy direction. The USA was founded as part of an imperial agenda emanating from London. Since it’s foundation it has undergone a continuous process of expansion although without formally constituting itself as am empire. So the “realist” contention that the USA is simply a nation state like any other is questionable. The neocon conviction that US interests can only be met through continuous power projection seems, if anything , more realistic. And the fact that they seek only to destroy existing state structures rather create new ones gives them the confidence to press ahead with incorrigible voluntarism. Where then are the limits? Firstly, they failed to subvert internally Russia and China, to prevent their re-emergence as global powers and to divide one from the other. Secondly, CIA campaigns in Ukraine and the Middle East failed in that they merely reposed the question of US military dominance, whether the army was prepared to go head to head with Russia, which was answered in the negative. Thirdly, the neocons are themselves hostile to a formally constituted national army preferring a corporate model, to to put it bluntly, mercenaries. There is nothing new about this: the conflict between oligarchy and the military is inseparable from the history of imperialism be it Rome, Venice, Britain or the USA. It is thus no accident that Trump has surrounded himself with generals. It is precisely this which confirms the victory of the realists over the neocons. However, as this article makes clear, the Trump appears to be oscillating between both camps. The transition from aspirant to global domination to ordinary nation state, defending the welfare of its own people,  creating a secure productive base in industry and agriculture, safeguarding its constitutional structures, guaranteeing the rule of law and conducting an intelligent and fruitful diplomacy, is obviously not a straightforward one, if it can be done at all.

Newropeans

5th August, 2017

For many the new President of the US is a controversial figure. His firm declarations related to focusing on American interest are a source of fear among superpower’s allies. At the same time his tenure isn’t free from actions based on ideas. The world is wondering: is Donald Trump a continuator of George W. Bush’s neoconservative diplomacy or rather an author of its own doctrine founded on the realist school of international relations. For all of us it would be better, if the second option were the actual one.

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Goodbye ‘President’ Trump; hail ‘President’ Mattis

Posted by seumasach on August 26, 2017

This author is one of the few to see what is undoubtedly a historic development. As a historical analogy Mercuris draws on the case of Germany in 1914. However, at that point Germany had been outmanouvered by the British over several decades and was already playing a losing hand. I find the analogy, and the contrast, between the end of the Anglo-American empire and the Roman Empire more revealing. By the time of the last Roman emperor in the West the Roman army had simply ceased to exist. All the great military leaders of the late Roman Empire, Stilicho, Aetius and Rimmer, had been assassinated. The great landowners of the senatorial elite had blocked recruitment to the army in favor of building up their own bands of retainers, essentially their own private armies. The Roman elite had decided to collapse the empire rather than see it become dominated by the military who they saw as the only existing threat to their power. The bet instead on patronizing the Goths. It is notable that at the time of Belisarius’s attempt to reabsorb Italy into the empire of the East the senatorial elite in Rome was still conspiring with “barbarian” forces against him. They lost the bet however with the Lombard invasions which they couldn’t control. This marked the real end of the Western empire at around 600 AD.

The USA has seen a similar conflict with the neoconservative faction, ascendant after 9/11, only too keen to put US military forces “in harm’s way” in a series of militarily irrational ventures and equally keen to substitute mercenary forces for them. The response from the military wasn’t long in coming and led to the destitution of Rumsfeld as Defense Secretary and his replacement by  Robert Gates who clearly represented the “realist” faction. This in turn led to the Obama presidency pledged to avoid military commitments and he duly spurned opportunities and pressures to turn CIA operations in the Middle East and Ukraine into full-scale military confrontations. At the same time he failed to end tensions with Russia and failed to give a positive US leadership taking on board the new multipolar reality. The “presidency” of Mathis can thus been seen as the culmination of the countercoup instigated in 2006. Mercurio points out with great precision the character of this new leadership. On the one hand , it is certainly good news that the State Department and the CIA seem to marginalized but we are also still far from any sense of a resolution to  America’s internal tensions or the closely related issue of a positive geostrategic direction. Trump’s  much-vaunted nationalist policy may come down to simply this: America’s one credible national institution has survived to frustrate the neocon dream of a global empire of chaos.

Alexander Mercuris

The Duran

24th August, 2017

Back on 16th February 2017, shortly after the forced resignation of President Trump’s first National Security Adviser General Flynn, I spoke of the extraordinary power that US Defense Secretary General Mattis appeared to be wielding within the Trump administration

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Merkel: Germany won’t necessarily take US side in potential Korea war

Posted by seumasach on August 24, 2017

PressTV

23rd August

Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany has warned the United States that Berlin would not necessarily take the side of Washington in a potential war against North Korea, saying the two sides of the conflict on the Korean Peninsula had better seek a diplomatic solution and avoid direct military confrontation.

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Germany supports Russian-Chinese ‘double freeze’ plan for North Korea crisis

Posted by seumasach on August 16, 2017

RT

16th August, 2017

Berlin supports the joint Russian-Chinese initiative for a “double freeze” to resolve the Korean crisis, German Foreign Minister Sigmar Gabriel said. The plan involves freezing missile launches in North Korea and South Korea’s drills with the US.

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Mercosur bloc rejects use of force in Venezuela

Posted by seumasach on August 14, 2017

Reuters

12th August, 2017

BUENOS AIRES (Reuters) – South American trade bloc Mercosur rejects the use of force in Venezuela, a statement sent by Argentina’s foreign ministry said on Saturday, a day after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened military intervention.

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Turkey to end support for anti-government terrorists in Syria

Posted by seumasach on August 14, 2017

Adam Garrie

The Duran

13th august, 2017

In a seismic shift in the alignment in the Syria conflict, Turkey has confirmed it is ending support to anti-government forces in Syria. Additionally, the umbrella political group National Coalition for Syrian Revolutionary and Opposition Forces is to have its recognition from Ankara withdrawn.

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