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A new paradigm for a post-imperial world

Archive for the ‘New Cold War’ Category

Russia fires Ukraine as natural gas transit for Europe

Posted by seumasach on January 17, 2015

Op-ed News

15th January, 2015

Russia executed a bold move on January 14, one that was largely unanticipated. It shows the level of disgust with both the coup-based Ukraine government and the European Union leaders and their small state followers.

Ukraine is finished as a supply route for Russian natural gas headed for European Union countries. EU countries get 25% to 30% of their natural gas from the Ukraine pipeline. The gas transiting Ukraine will be diverted to the recently announced Russia-Turkey pipeline. The Turks will create a portal at the Greek border where Europeans can purchase natural gas. The pipeline will be complete in 2017.

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Russian FM says Paris attackers were trained by Syrian opposition

Posted by seumasach on January 15, 2015

TASS

12th January, 2015

MOSCOW, January 12. /TASS/. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said on Monday that last Wednesday’s attack on a French satirical magazine was committed by militants who had fought in Syria for the West-backed aim of ousting Syrian President Bashar al-Assad from power.

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Berlin peace talks on Ukraine fall flat

Posted by seumasach on January 13, 2015

Things have taken a sudden reverse after Hollande’s and vice-chancellor Sigmar Gabriel’s dramatic anti-sanctions statements only a week ago.

RFERL

13th January, 2015

The foreign ministers of Ukraine, Russia, Germany, and France have failed to agree on terms for a summit later this week aimed at defusing the crisis in eastern Ukraine.

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2015: year of peace?

Posted by seumasach on December 19, 2014

Cailean Bochanan

19th December, 2014

Between the idea
And the reality
Between the motion
And the act
Falls the Shadow

T.S.Elliot

Those who have been following the analysis put forward in these columns may be stunned but will not be surprised by Obama’s announcement ending the US standoff with Cuba. As I wrote almost two years ago:

“You don’t have to regard Barack Obama as the the embodiment of ultimate virtue to support the recent shift towards a certain realism in Washington. He has declared an end to “war without end”. It doesn’t matter that this is only an accommodation to new realities and not the reflection of some inherent goodness in the US leader. What matters is that he is aware of reality and is accommodating to it: this is what leadership is about. He has recognised that the policy options chosen by his administration have not worked. They could have worked perhaps but they didn’t . The government of Bashar-al Assad has not collapsed in the face of Western sponsored Islamist movements and is not going to. The eurozone is not going to collapse to accommodate the US dollar. America is not going to dictate the course of world events over the coming years. The New World Order, at least not the one envisaged by Washington, London and Tel Aviv, will not come into being.Let us then applaud Barack Obama for providing us with change we might even believe in: a shift in Washington towards an acceptance of the facts, of a return to planet earth.”

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Kiev engages with Moscow

Posted by seumasach on December 10, 2014

Whilst Cod War 1 was a tragedy, Cold War 2 is definitely a farce. While Kiev talks to Moscow for purposes of survival, the clowns running the West talk sanctions. The proponents of globalisation  want to retreat into their bunkers now that globalisation is no longer going their way. Still, there is hope that this sorry spectacle may be brought to an end if Wagenknecht’s remarkable Bundestag speech is anything to go by.

Moscow Forces Ukraine to Seek Coal from Novorossiya

Russia Insider

6th December, 2014

Kyiv has started talks with Russia as well as with Russian-backed rebels in East Ukraine in order to source electric power and coal, as Ukraine’s national grid faces a critical shortage of fuel, Ukraine’s new energy minister Volodymyr Demchyshyn said on December 4.

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Orban blasts Brussels

Posted by seumasach on December 6, 2014

Orban is a neocon who has “gone native” much to the chagrin of McCain. But this is one of the prime symptoms of imperial decline: the empire can no longer control its vassals.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has blasted Brussels for undermining the Russia-led South Stream gas pipeline project.

Sputnik

5th December, 2014

MOSCOW, December 5 (Sputnik), Ekaterina Blinova — Viktor Orban, Hungary’s Prime Minister blasted Brussels for ruining the Russia-led South Stream gas pipeline project.

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Russia tops Obama’s hit list, not China

Posted by seumasach on November 25, 2014

Obama’s anti-Russian turn is devoid of strategic sense. He can’t court China at the expense of Russia as Nixon did: China and Russia are now inseparable allies and increasingly so in the face of Western hostility. However, anti-Russian rhetoric does serve as a cover for Washington’s close engagement with China which includes permitting China to exchange its dollar holdings for real assets, especially artificially underpriced gold, but also real estate, industrial and port facilities inside the USA.

M.K.Bhadrakumar

Indian Punchline

25th November, 2014

The India-Russia annual summitry had lately become a tepid affair — something like the anniversary of a boring marriage. How often can an aged couple arouse passion? But the upcoming event bringing President Vladimir Putin to Delhi next month promises to be exciting. Geopolitics may act like an aphrodisiac. 

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Rupture du G-20 à Brisbane

Posted by seumasach on November 25, 2014

Alfredo Jalife-Rahme

Voltairenet

21st November, 2014

Pour Alfredo Jalife, le G20 de Brisbane n’a pas été le théâtre d’un isolement de la Russie, mais d’une fracture toujours plus prononcée entre les membres des BRICS d’un côté, et les alliés de Washington de l’autre. Les premiers ont d’abord pris acte de la mauvaise foi des Occidentaux qui s’étaient engagés, en 2010 à Séoul, à une réforme du FMI jamais terminée. Puis, ils ont réaffirmé leurs intérêts communs et leur décision de créer un système international alternatif. Par ailleurs, il semble que l’acharnement des médias atlantistes à tourner en dérision le départ anticipé du président Poutine vise à masquer les rumeurs sur un possible attentat contre lui.

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Will Sikorski be the next EU foreign policy chief?

Posted by seumasach on June 24, 2014

According to some sources, Sikorski was proactive in the overthrow of Yanukovitch. In any case, as one German source, cited below, put it:

 “The Germans know how much Poland cares about completing the unfinished ‘Colour Revolutions’ in eastern Europe, and somehow they feel uncomfortable about this.”

In this context, the leaking of Sikorski phone call, expressing his sense of betrayal by Obama, is hardly likely to be accidental and we can safely predict that Sikorski will not succeed Ashton, thereby confirming Germany’s rejection of the New Cold War

EU Observer

23rd June, 2014

BRUSSELS – With leaders haggling over EU top jobs this week, Polish FM Radek Sikorski is the most talked-about candidate for the next foreign policy chief.

His reputation just took a blow in a Polish eavesdropping scandal.

 

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New Cold War or War onTerror?

Posted by seumasach on June 15, 2014

 

Cailean Bochanan

15th June, 2014

The betrayal of the Iraq army leadership facilitating last week’s capture of Mosul by the so-called ISIL may become a watershed in US foreign policy in providing a significant diversion from the Ukrainian fiasco and turning attention from quasi-cold war tensions towards the new Obama doctrine already outlined in his West Point speech, anticipated by Blair’s 23rd April speech and ratified by an intervention by Kofi Annan last week on BBC Newsnight.
What is this new doctrine? It is called, with great originality, the War on Terror. Thus, we return to 2001 and the post-9/11 doctrine but in a geo-political environment which has become completely transformed. In 2003 , on the eve of the Iraq War, the USA was still regarded as the undisputed global superpower, even though a resurgent Russia and China were already disputing that status. Today it has suffered a series of military reverses and the catastrophic state of its economy and society can longer be hidden. After the dismissal of Rumsfeld in 2006 in a palace coup the stage was set for Obama to turn around US foreign policy in the aftermath of the failed Iraq and Afghan wars. He is generally regarded as having failed in this respect and that judgement has seemed to have been confirmed by the dramatic events of the last week. We appear to be condemned to relive the historical cycle of US military intervention.
But, as I say, the context is completely different. The invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan post-9/11 were the beginning of a global war for hegemony. This war failed and no such perspectives are in sight for a severely weakened USA. Rather than being the opening shot in an attempted roll-back of Russian and Chinese power War on Terror II could lead to a re-engagement of these two emerging superpowers by Washington. Tony Blair’s above-mentioned speech already prefigures this development:

“In this speech I will set out how we should do this, including the recognition that on this issue, whatever our other differences, we should be prepared to reach out and cooperate with the East, and in particular, Russia and China.”
This was followed up by Kofi Anna’s call for a de facto alliance with Russia , China and Iran:
“Mr Annan – the UN’s former envoy to Syria – said he did not believe that there was the “stomach” for “boots on the ground”, but that a group made up of permanent members of the UN Security Council, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Turkey and possibly Egypt could agree a common approach.”
Already, the ISIL surge has raised a prospect that was previously unthinkable: joint US-Iranian military co-operation.
I have, for some time, been talking up a strategic alliance between Washington and Moscow as the great paradigm shift in global geo-politics. It was, admittedly, difficult to see how such a shift could come about. Indeed, the failure of Obama’s reset was just another amongst a litany of seeming failures. But if that remains a strategic goal of Obama, and I believe that it must, then War on TerrorII would be the key to its realization.

The roller-coaster unleashed by the Arab spring continues. The events in Iraq last week serve as a cover for the surreal Ukraine fiasco, which in turn obscured defeat in the Syrian war which in turn diverted the world’s attention from the chaos engendered in Libya by NATO intervention. Since the hand of the NATO and Western intelligence assets is clearly present in all these scenarios you might think Obama’s strategy is merely to cover failure with even more failure. But their may be a different logic at play,a convoluted logic of end of empire. If so, the cycle may be broken in Iraq and by the time the ISIL has been checked we may see the clear outlines of a new international order.

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Grandmaster takes on novice

Posted by seumasach on March 2, 2014

Cailean Bochanan

2nd March, 2014

What exactly the EU leadership thought they were doing in Ukraine is a puzzle for the historians to grapple with. Even though  Manlio  Dinucci has pointed to networks involving the likes of Barroso centered round a leading Ukrainian oligarch as likely suspects in the Western backed attempt to destabilize Ukraine, the question remains why would they activate such a programme at time when its likelihood of success was minimal. Were they not aware of a growing interdependence of US and Russian foreign policy evident in the resolution of the outstanding issues of the Middle East from Syria and Iran to the Palestinian question itself? Perhaps they were and wanted to roll history back fearing that a final end to the cold war would also see an end to their own political usefulness.

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